ATHABASCA OIL CORPORATION |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 5.01 CAD | -1.38% |
|
+2.04% | +20.14% |
| 09/05 | Transcript : Athabasca Oil Corporation - Shareholder/Analyst Call | |
| 09/05 | Athabasca Oil's Rating Upgraded to Outperform, Price Target Raised to $7 by National Bank of Canada | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 308.8 | 90.21 | 631.7 | 1,413 | 2,410 | 2,809 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 614.1 | 484.5 | 792.9 | 1,422 | 2,247 | 2,532 | 2,381 | 2,038 |
| P/E ratio | 1.26 x | -0.14 x | 1.42 x | - | -46.3 x | 8.79 x | 6.93 x | 4.36 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.37 x | 0.19 x | 0.62 x | - | 1.86 x | 1.85 x | 1.58 x | 31.5 x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.73 x | 1.04 x | 0.78 x | - | 1.73 x | 1.66 x | 1.34 x | 22.8 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 2.27 x | 14.9 x | 2.22 x | 2.94 x | 6.39 x | 4.57 x | 3.8 x | 2.42 x |
| EV / FCF | 56.4 x | -3.94 x | 8.79 x | 8.46 x | 14.5 x | 6.92 x | 6.84 x | 3.85 x |
| FCF Yield | 1.77% | -25.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 6.92% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 26% |
| Price to Book | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 5,23,447 | 5,30,675 | 5,30,845 | 5,86,489 | 5,77,994 | 5,60,655 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 0.5900 | 0.1700 | 1.190 | 2.410 | 4.170 | 5.010 | 5.010 | 5.010 |
| Announcement Date | 04/03/20 | 03/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 01/03/23 | 29/02/24 | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 836.9 | 464.6 | 1,014 | - | 1,295 | 1,522 | 1,776 | 89.24 |
| EBITDA 1 | 270.7 | 32.58 | 356.4 | 483.2 | 351.5 | 553.7 | 626.3 | 842 |
| EBIT 1 | - | - | 257.8 | - | - | 343 | 445 | - |
| Operating Margin | - | - | 25.43% | - | - | 22.54% | 25.06% | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | 246.9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income | 246.9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net margin | 29.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS 2 | 0.4700 | -1.240 | 0.8400 | - | -0.0900 | 0.5700 | 0.7233 | 1.150 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 10.88 | -123 | 90.24 | 168.2 | 155.4 | 365.7 | 348.3 | 529 |
| FCF margin | 1.3% | -26.47% | 8.9% | - | 12% | 24.03% | 19.61% | 592.78% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 4.02% | - | 25.32% | 34.81% | 44.21% | 66.06% | 55.61% | 62.83% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 4.41% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 04/03/20 | 03/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 01/03/23 | 29/02/24 | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBITDA | - | 132.4 | 235.7 | 132.7 | 102 | 148.8 | 92.94 | 89.31 | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Operating Margin | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net margin | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS | 0.7000 | -0.2300 | 0.0800 | - | - | -0.1400 | 0.0300 | 0.0700 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 02/03/22 | 03/05/22 | 27/07/22 | 02/11/22 | 26/07/23 | 01/11/23 | 29/02/24 | 08/05/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 305 | 394 | 161 | 8.61 | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | 164 | 277 | 428 | 771 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.128 x | 12.1 x | 0.4524 x | 0.0178 x | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 10.9 | -123 | 90.2 | 168 | 155 | 366 | 348 | 529 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 22.6% | - | - | - | -3.11% | 16.5% | 19.6% | - |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Assets | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0.3000 | -0.0500 | 0.3400 | 0.5300 | 0.5100 | 0.9700 | 1.140 | 1.860 |
| Capex 1 | 140 | 88.9 | 92.1 | 147 | 140 | 205 | 253 | 313 |
| Capex / Sales | 16.75% | 19.13% | 9.09% | - | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.23% | 350.74% |
| Announcement Date | 04/03/20 | 03/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 01/03/23 | 29/02/24 | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
5.01
CAD
Average target price
6.167
CAD
Spread / Average Target
+23.09%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +20.14% | 205.88Cr | |
| +7.58% | 728.62Cr | |
| +8.38% | 456.04Cr | |
| +18.27% | 243.39Cr | |
| -10.34% | 167.56Cr | |
| -4.51% | 116Cr | |
| -.--% | 110.04Cr | |
| +12.50% | 54Cr | |
| -0.85% | 54Cr | |
| +45.71% | 51Cr |
- Stock Market
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- Financials Athabasca Oil Corporation
