Financials Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd.

Equities

601211

CNE1000022F3

Investment Banking & Brokerage Services

End-of-day quote Shanghai S.E. 03:30:00 31/05/2024 am IST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
13.94 CNY -1.06% Intraday chart for Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. +2.50% -6.32%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 1,56,143 1,43,449 1,46,600 1,11,763 1,22,000 1,14,575 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 2,32,055 2,44,911 3,19,827 2,62,176 1,22,000 2,69,442 1,14,575 1,14,575
P/E ratio 20.5 x 14.6 x 10.8 x 11 x 15.3 x 11.9 x 11.2 x 9.98 x
Yield 2.11% 3.19% 3.8% 3.9% 2.69% 3.57% 3.86% 5.16%
Capitalization / Revenue 4 x 4.08 x 3.42 x 3.15 x 3.38 x 3.19 x 2.8 x 2.73 x
EV / Revenue 5.94 x 6.96 x 7.47 x 7.39 x 3.38 x 7.5 x 2.8 x 2.73 x
EV / EBITDA 1,84,72,483 x 1,55,93,445 x - - 91,84,742 x - - -
EV / FCF - - - - - - - -
FCF Yield - - - - - - - -
Price to Book 1.36 x 1.14 x 1.07 x 0.77 x 0.79 x 0.76 x 0.73 x 0.69 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 89,07,948 88,19,448 88,19,450 88,19,450 88,44,446 88,43,566 - -
Reference price 2 18.49 17.53 17.89 13.59 14.88 13.94 13.94 13.94
Announcement Date 22/01/20 29/01/21 21/01/22 07/02/23 28/03/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 39,050 35,195 42,817 35,471 36,141 35,918 40,969 41,995
EBITDA 12,562 15,706 - - 13,283 - - -
EBIT 1 11,271 14,912 19,280 14,283 12,178 12,400 14,195 15,289
Operating Margin 28.86% 42.37% 45.03% 40.27% 33.69% 34.52% 34.65% 36.41%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 11,445 14,832 19,112 14,140 12,148 13,287 13,164 16,021
Net income 1 8,637 11,102 15,013 11,507 9,374 10,768 11,015 12,477
Net margin 22.12% 31.54% 35.06% 32.44% 25.94% 29.98% 26.89% 29.71%
EPS 2 0.9000 1.200 1.650 1.230 0.9700 1.168 1.249 1.397
Free Cash Flow - - - - - - - -
FCF margin - - - - - - - -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 0.3900 0.5600 0.6800 0.5300 0.4000 0.4980 0.5380 0.7190
Announcement Date 22/01/20 29/01/21 21/01/22 07/02/23 28/03/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 S1 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 S1 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 15,812 10,763 8,150 11,385 7,161 8,977 9,288 9,044 18,334 8,696 9,112 7,983 - - - - -
EBITDA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Operating Margin - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - 4,228 3,228 4,902 2,471 3,523 4,014 3,529 - 3,727 - - 3,607 3,604 3,757 3,983 4,157
Net income 1 5,454 3,378 2,519 3,854 2,055 3,079 3,041 2,701 5,742 2,886 746.7 2,489 2,891 2,559 2,839 3,034 3,208
Net margin 34.49% 31.38% 30.91% 33.86% 28.7% 34.3% 32.74% 29.86% 31.32% 33.19% 8.19% 31.18% - - - - -
EPS 2 - 0.3900 0.2700 0.4200 0.2100 0.3400 0.3200 0.2800 - 0.3000 - - 0.3245 0.2874 0.3188 0.3406 0.3602
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 11/08/20 21/01/22 29/04/22 22/07/22 28/10/22 07/02/23 28/04/23 28/07/23 28/07/23 30/10/23 28/03/24 29/04/24 - - - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 75,912 1,01,462 1,73,227 1,50,413 - 1,54,867 - -
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.043 x 6.46 x - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow - - - - - - - -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 6.61% 8.52% 11.1% 7.55% 6.02% 6.68% 6.15% 6.55%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 1.73% 1.75% 2.01% 1.39% 1.05% 1.35% 1.03% 1.12%
Assets 1 4,99,251 6,33,018 7,47,125 8,25,951 8,93,031 7,97,037 10,72,013 11,19,001
Book Value Per Share 2 13.60 15.40 16.70 17.70 18.80 18.30 19.00 20.10
Cash Flow per Share 2 - - 1.130 - 0.8100 1.500 2.300 2.700
Capex - - - - - - - -
Capex / Sales - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 22/01/20 29/01/21 21/01/22 07/02/23 28/03/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
13.94 CNY
Average target price
17.82 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+27.87%
Consensus
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