Projected Income Statement: Thales

Forecast Balance Sheet: Thales

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,562 795 35.2 4,000 3,044 2,002 422 -1,004
Change - -68.97% -95.57% 11,263.64% -23.9% -34.23% -78.92% -337.91%
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 08/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Thales

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 386.9 450.8 534.6 625.6 616.8 719.2 807.7 845.6
Change - 16.52% 18.59% 17.02% -1.41% 16.6% 12.3% 4.69%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 958.7 2,256 2,491 2,026 2,027 1,922 2,214 2,530
Change - 135.31% 10.41% -18.66% 0.05% -5.19% 15.2% 14.26%
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 08/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Thales

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.89% 14.5% 13.69% 14.01% 14.08% 16.14% 15.71% 16.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.96% 10.18% 11.01% 11.57% 11.75% 12.38% 12.59% 13.01%
EBT Margin (%) 3.43% 7.92% 7.66% 6.81% 6.1% 9.2% 10.6% 11.29%
Net margin (%) 2.84% 6.73% 6.38% 5.55% 6.9% 7.57% 7.92% 8.46%
FCF margin (%) 5.64% 13.93% 14.18% 10.99% 9.85% 8.75% 9.32% 9.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) 198.49% 207.15% 222.19% 198.04% 142.8% 124.72% 117.59% 116.78%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.97% 3.37% 3.33% 2.79% 4.82% 4.55% 5.46% 5.55%
ROE 17.74% 18.74% 16.43% 25.25% 26.49% 24.34% 25.55% 25.32%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.01x 0.34x 0.01x 1.55x 1.05x 0.56x 0.11x -
Debt / Free cash flow 2.67x 0.35x 0.01x 1.97x 1.5x 1.04x 0.19x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.28% 2.78% 3.04% 3.39% 3% 3.28% 3.4% 3.3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.29% 19.2% 22.23% 24.23% 21.29% 20.29% 21.63% 20.04%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 40.36% 19.98% 21.46% 30.88% 30.43% 37.42% 36.48% 33.42%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.321 12.7 14.25 7.249 13.45 12.46 13.77 15.95
Change - 100.97% 12.16% -49.12% 85.56% -7.33% 10.45% 15.87%
Dividend per Share 1 1.76 2.56 2.94 3.4 3.7 3.797 4.291 4.867
Change - 45.45% 14.84% 15.65% 8.82% 2.62% 13.02% 13.41%
Book Value Per Share 1 24.03 30.43 34.14 33.05 36.6 39.89 43.87 49.52
Change - 26.66% 12.17% -3.2% 10.76% 8.98% 9.97% 12.88%
EPS 1 2.27 5.12 5.29 4.91 6.89 8.15 9.573 10.83
Change - 125.55% 3.32% -7.18% 40.33% 18.29% 25.66% 13.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,12,680 2,12,957 2,11,730 2,08,476 2,05,380 2,05,477 2,05,477 2,05,477
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 08/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 28.2x 25.2x
PBR 6.05x 5.5x
EV / Sales 2.13x 2.1x
Yield 1.57% 1.78%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
241.30EUR
Average target price
292.67EUR
Spread / Average Target
+21.29%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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