Projected Income Statement: Thales

Forecast Balance Sheet: Thales

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 795 35.2 4,000 3,044 1,618 408 -1,201 -2,948
Change - -95.57% 11,263.64% -23.9% -46.85% -74.78% -394.36% -145.46%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 08/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Thales

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 450.8 534.6 625.6 616.8 746 810.8 853.8 910.7
Change - 18.59% 17.02% -1.41% 20.95% 8.69% 5.3% 6.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,256 2,491 2,026 2,027 2,577 2,229 2,553 2,875
Change - 10.41% -18.66% 0.05% 27.13% -13.5% 14.53% 12.6%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 08/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Thales

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.5% 13.69% 14.01% 14.08% 17.29% 16.06% 16.4% 16.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.18% 11.01% 11.57% 11.75% 12.38% 12.64% 13.05% 13.4%
EBT Margin (%) 7.92% 7.66% 6.81% 6.1% 9.2% 10.14% 11.13% 11.56%
Net margin (%) 6.73% 6.38% 5.55% 6.9% 7.57% 7.43% 8.65% 9.07%
FCF margin (%) 13.93% 14.18% 10.99% 9.85% 11.64% 9.41% 9.96% 10.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) 207.15% 222.19% 198.04% 142.8% 153.85% 126.68% 115.2% 113.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.37% 3.33% 2.79% 4.82% 5.07% 5.32% 5.84% 6.31%
ROE 18.74% 16.43% 25.25% 26.49% 25.9% 25.14% 25.88% 26.52%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.34x 0.01x 1.55x 1.05x 0.42x 0.11x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.35x 0.01x 1.97x 1.5x 0.63x 0.18x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.78% 3.04% 3.39% 3% 3.37% 3.42% 3.33% 3.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.2% 22.23% 24.23% 21.29% 19.49% 21.31% 20.32% 19.4%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.98% 21.46% 30.88% 30.43% 28.95% 36.38% 33.44% 31.68%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.7 14.25 7.249 13.45 16.13 13.73 16.18 18.28
Change - 12.16% -49.12% 85.56% 19.96% -14.91% 17.85% 12.99%
Dividend per Share 1 2.56 2.94 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.234 4.869 5.491
Change - 14.84% 15.65% 8.82% 5.41% 8.56% 15.01% 12.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 30.43 34.14 33.05 36.6 38.78 43.21 49.22 56.22
Change - 12.17% -3.2% 10.76% 5.95% 11.42% 13.91% 14.23%
EPS 1 5.12 5.29 4.91 6.89 8.15 8.763 11.05 12.67
Change - 3.32% -7.18% 40.33% 18.29% 7.52% 26.1% 14.62%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,12,957 2,11,730 2,08,476 2,05,380 2,05,373 2,05,477 2,05,477 2,05,477
Announcement Date 03/03/22 08/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 25.5x 20.2x
PBR 5.17x 4.54x
EV / Sales 1.95x 1.74x
Yield 1.9% 2.18%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
223.30EUR
Average target price
289.94EUR
Spread / Average Target
+29.85%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise