Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -2,227 -6,985 -13,120
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% 34.13% -213.65% -87.83%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 828.8 1,048 1,235
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 12.15% 26.44% 17.83%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 10,131 11,506 13,076
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 22.97% 13.57% 13.64%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 31.8% 32.7% 33.61%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.41% 30.39% 31.29%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 28.52% 29.27% 30.57%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 20.35% 20.55% 21.46%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 25.19% 25.6% 25.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 123.81% 124.59% 120.95%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 11.28% 12.08% 12.97%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 18.22% 19.84% 21.09%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 2.06% 2.33% 2.45%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 6.48% 7.13% 7.29%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 8.18% 9.11% 9.44%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.59 11.01 13.24
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 23.07% 14.86% 20.18%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 2.5 2.731 3.024 3.424
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% 6.38% 9.23% 10.73% 13.25%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 39.44 42.26 47.96
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 2.77% 7.14% 13.49%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 7.044 8.182 9.672
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 12.16% 16.16% 18.21%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 11,79,579 11,64,814 11,64,184 11,63,363 11,64,600 11,54,200 11,54,200 11,54,200
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 23/01/24 28/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.9x 17.1x
PBR 3.55x 3.32x
EV / Sales 3.97x 3.44x
Yield 1.95% 2.16%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
140.20EUR
Average target price
201.91EUR
Spread / Average Target
+44.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise