Projected Income Statement: Sagax

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 26,269 31,316 30,315 34,847 38,630 39,076 39,635 38,711
Change - 19.21% -3.2% 14.95% 10.86% 1.15% 1.43% -2.33%
Announcement Date 11/02/22 17/02/23 22/02/24 21/02/25 09/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 658 715 902 1,129 978 1,482 914.7 941.7
Change - 8.66% 26.15% 25.17% -13.37% 51.5% -38.27% 2.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,236 2,512 2,663 2,222 2,639 706 2,666 2,782
Change - 212.34% 6.01% -16.56% 18.77% -73.25% 277.62% 4.35%
Announcement Date 11/02/22 17/02/23 22/02/24 21/02/25 09/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.68% 76.68% 78.02% 79.08% 78.75% 85.16% 85.94% 86.71%
EBIT Margin (%) 164.71% 97.24% 99.72% 100.97% 99.26% 100.88% 100.81% 101.5%
EBT Margin (%) 337.59% 88.68% 3.68% 113.21% 83.02% 100.59% 96.54% 95.85%
Net margin (%) 314.02% 72.93% -0.3% 103.79% 74.94% 76.11% 71.64% 71.41%
FCF margin (%) -71.6% 67.4% 61.67% 43.89% 48.85% 12.81% 46.2% 46.57%
FCF / Net Income (%) -22.8% 92.42% -20,484.62% 42.28% 65.19% 16.83% 64.49% 65.22%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.98% 4.05% 5.14% 6.68% - - - -
ROE 37% 8.4% 10.68% 13.5% 9.6% 9.35% 8.27% 7.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.83x 10.96x 9x 8.7x 9.08x 8.33x 7.99x 7.47x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.75x 12.47x 11.38x 15.68x 14.64x 55.35x 14.87x 13.91x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.07% 19.18% 20.89% 22.3% 18.1% 26.89% 15.85% 15.76%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.12% 25.02% 26.77% 28.2% 22.99% 31.57% 18.44% 18.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -29.43% 28.46% 33.87% 50.81% 37.06% 209.87% 34.31% 33.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 10.69 10.72 11.03 -
Change - - - - - 0.29% 2.85% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 3.7 3.771 3.944 4.062
Change - - - - - 1.93% 4.58% 2.99%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 133.2 145.8 158.6
Change - - - - - - 9.47% 8.75%
EPS 1 - - - - - 14.35 15.81 16.17
Change - - - - - - 10.17% 2.3%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - - 4,64,709 4,64,709 4,64,709 4,64,709
Announcement Date - - - - 09/02/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.7x 10.6x
PBR 1.26x 1.15x
EV / Sales 18.1x 17.4x
Yield 2.25% 2.35%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
167.50SEK
Average target price
203.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
+21.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise