Projected Income Statement: Sagax

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 26,269 31,316 30,315 34,847 38,630 43,302 42,769 42,280
Change - 19.21% -3.2% 14.95% 10.86% 12.09% -1.23% -1.14%
Announcement Date 11/02/22 17/02/23 22/02/24 21/02/25 09/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 658 715 902 1,129 978 5,383 940.3 941.7
Change - 8.66% 26.15% 25.17% -13.37% 450.41% -82.53% 0.14%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,236 2,512 2,663 2,222 2,639 -2,171 2,603 2,866
Change - 212.34% 6.01% -16.56% 18.77% -182.27% 219.9% 10.1%
Announcement Date 11/02/22 17/02/23 22/02/24 21/02/25 09/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.68% 76.68% 78.02% 79.08% 78.75% 86.12% 84.67% 85.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 164.71% 97.24% 99.72% 100.97% 99.26% 101.34% 100.15% 100.57%
EBT Margin (%) 337.59% 88.68% 3.68% 113.21% 83.02% 101.19% 91.99% 91.41%
Net margin (%) 314.02% 72.93% -0.3% 103.79% 74.94% 76.87% 64.82% 64.41%
FCF margin (%) -71.6% 67.4% 61.67% 43.89% 48.85% -38.7% 43.39% 46.07%
FCF / Net Income (%) -22.8% 92.42% -20,484.62% 42.28% 65.19% -50.34% 66.94% 71.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.98% 4.05% 5.14% 6.68% - - - -
ROE 37% 8.4% 10.68% 13.5% 9.6% 9.35% 8.36% 7.96%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.83x 10.96x 9x 8.7x 9.08x 8.96x 8.42x 7.95x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.75x 12.47x 11.38x 15.68x 14.64x -19.95x 16.43x 14.75x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.07% 19.18% 20.89% 22.3% 18.1% 95.95% 15.67% 15.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.12% 25.02% 26.77% 28.2% 22.99% 111.42% 18.51% 17.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -29.43% 28.46% 33.87% 50.81% 37.06% -247.95% 36.12% 32.86%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 10.69 10.72 11.03 -
Change - - - - - 0.29% 2.85% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 3.7 3.734 3.92 4.044
Change - - - - - 0.91% 4.99% 3.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 133.8 146.9 160.2
Change - - - - - - 9.82% 9.04%
EPS 1 - - - - - 13.71 14.35 14.66
Change - - - - - - 4.64% 2.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - - 4,64,709 4,94,709 4,94,709 4,94,709
Announcement Date - - - - 09/02/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.4x 11.9x
PBR 1.27x 1.16x
EV / Sales 18.9x 17.6x
Yield 2.2% 2.31%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
170.00SEK
Average target price
196.50SEK
Spread / Average Target
+15.59%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise