Projected Income Statement: Ratch Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ratch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 54,158 64,634 66,407 84,404 99,985 97,295 76,054 74,457
Change - 19.34% 2.74% 27.1% 18.46% -2.69% -21.83% -2.1%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 28/02/23 27/02/24 25/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ratch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,894 2,375 3,045 2,042 1,435 13,398 12,662 9,032
Change - 25.45% 28.2% -32.93% -29.75% 833.67% -5.49% -28.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,260 5,129 7,699 6,101 10,916 21,774 21,901 23,141
Change - -2.49% 50.11% -20.76% 78.93% 99.46% 0.58% 5.66%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 28/02/23 27/02/24 25/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ratch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.46% 7.62% 15.91% 19.95% 21.38% 28.03% 32.83% 27%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.72% 3.56% 6.6% 7.79% 7.69% 11.84% 16.58% 15.42%
EBT Margin (%) 21.32% 8.85% 14.51% 21.82% 27.48% 22.65% 24.38% 23.78%
Net margin (%) 20.82% 7.74% 11.83% 18.49% 22.97% 19.14% 21.24% 21.12%
FCF margin (%) 14.09% 6.86% 17.63% 18.41% 40.31% 62.79% 66.69% 70.07%
FCF / Net Income (%) 67.68% 88.71% 149% 99.58% 175.49% 327.97% 314.03% 331.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.82% 2.99% 2.33% 2.86% 2.75% 3.95% 4.04% 3.96%
ROE 11.88% 6.9% 5.27% 6.27% 6.52% 7% 7.14% 7.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.64x 11.35x 9.56x 12.77x 17.27x 10.01x 7.06x 8.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.3x 12.6x 8.63x 13.83x 9.16x 4.47x 3.47x 3.22x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.07% 3.18% 6.97% 6.16% 5.3% 38.63% 38.56% 27.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 40.7% 41.7% 43.83% 30.9% 24.79% 137.81% 117.46% 101.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36% 46.31% 39.55% 33.48% 13.14% 61.53% 57.81% 39.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.934 3.45 4.94 3.744 5.679 5.75 7.047 7.01
Change - -30.06% 43.17% -24.21% 51.67% 1.26% 22.55% -0.52%
Dividend per Share 1 2.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.623 1.627
Change - -36% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1.43% 0.23%
Book Value Per Share 1 48.48 45.07 45.06 43.88 42.97 45.58 48.05 49.5
Change - -7.02% -0.03% -2.61% -2.08% 6.08% 5.41% 3.01%
EPS 1 5.36 3.15 2.38 2.82 2.86 3.05 3.198 3.216
Change - -41.23% -24.44% 18.49% 1.42% 6.64% 4.84% 0.57%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 14,50,000 21,75,000 21,75,000 21,75,000 21,75,000 21,75,000 21,75,000 21,75,000
Announcement Date 23/02/22 28/02/23 27/02/24 25/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 9.84x 9.38x
PBR 0.66x 0.62x
EV / Sales 4.69x 4.3x
Yield 5.33% 5.41%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
30.00THB
Average target price
33.48THB
Spread / Average Target
+11.58%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. RATCH Stock
  4. Financials Ratch Group
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