Projected Income Statement: LVMH

Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,607 27,847 30,671 31,143 27,567 23,776 20,339 16,820
Change - 189.86% 10.14% 1.54% -11.48% -13.75% -14.46% -17.3%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,664 4,969 7,478 5,531 4,567 4,704 4,745 4,963
Change - 86.52% 50.49% -26.04% -17.43% 3.01% 0.87% 4.6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 13,531 10,113 8,104 10,478 11,333 11,461 13,101 13,802
Change - -25.26% -19.87% 29.29% 8.16% 1.13% 14.31% 5.36%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.79% 34.45% 34.8% 32.32% 31.87% 29.92% 30.87% 31.3%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.71% 26.59% 26.47% 23.11% 21.97% 21.79% 22.44% 22.88%
EBT Margin (%) 26.8% 25.4% 25.1% 21.39% 20.66% 20.99% 21.55% 22.12%
Net margin (%) 18.74% 17.79% 17.61% 14.82% 13.46% 13.88% 14.88% 15.52%
FCF margin (%) 21.07% 12.77% 9.41% 12.37% 14.02% 14.16% 15.36% 15.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.42% 71.8% 53.41% 83.49% 104.18% 101.96% 103.22% 98.44%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.29% 10.84% 10.9% 12.37% 7.47% 7.96% 8.71% 9.52%
ROE 28.48% 27.55% 26.13% 27.88% 16.12% 16.07% 16.66% 17.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.42x 1.02x 1.02x 1.14x 1.07x 0.98x 0.77x 0.59x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.71x 2.75x 3.78x 2.97x 2.43x 2.07x 1.55x 1.22x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 6.28% 8.68% 6.53% 5.65% 5.81% 5.56% 5.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.59% 18.21% 24.94% 20.21% 17.73% 19.42% 18.02% 17.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.69% 49.13% 92.28% 52.79% 40.3% 41.05% 36.22% 35.96%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 37.01 35.49 36.78 37.87 37.9 36.58 38.57 39.04
Change - -4.1% 3.63% 2.98% 0.08% -3.49% 5.44% 1.21%
Dividend per Share 1 7 12 13 13 13 13.07 14.12 15.17
Change - 71.43% 8.33% 0% 0% 0.51% 8.06% 7.44%
Book Value Per Share 1 93.56 109.8 122.2 135.1 135.5 144.1 156.6 169.2
Change - 17.31% 11.29% 10.62% 0.28% 6.36% 8.67% 8.07%
EPS 1 23.89 28.03 30.33 25.12 21.85 22.52 25.58 28.27
Change - 17.33% 8.21% -17.18% -13.02% 3.07% 13.58% 10.51%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,03,785 5,01,103 4,99,410 4,99,744 4,95,126 4,93,099 4,93,099 4,93,099
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 21.3x 18.8x
PBR 3.33x 3.06x
EV / Sales 3.22x 3.01x
Yield 2.72% 2.94%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
479.70EUR
Average target price
569.54EUR
Spread / Average Target
+18.73%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise