Projected Income Statement: LVMH

Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,607 27,847 30,671 31,143 27,567 23,763 19,608 15,118
Change - 189.86% 10.14% 1.54% -11.48% -13.8% -17.49% -22.9%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,664 4,969 7,478 5,531 4,567 4,847 4,880 5,040
Change - 86.52% 50.49% -26.04% -17.43% 6.14% 0.68% 3.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 13,531 10,113 8,104 10,478 11,333 12,114 13,196 14,289
Change - -25.26% -19.87% 29.29% 8.16% 6.89% 8.93% 8.29%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.79% 34.45% 34.8% 32.32% 31.87% 30.86% 31.85% 31.81%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.71% 26.59% 26.47% 23.11% 21.97% 21.96% 22.7% 23.36%
EBT Margin (%) 26.8% 25.4% 25.1% 21.39% 20.66% 20.8% 21.48% 22.24%
Net margin (%) 18.74% 17.79% 17.61% 14.82% 13.46% 13.95% 15.12% 15.66%
FCF margin (%) 21.07% 12.77% 9.41% 12.37% 14.02% 14.84% 15.3% 15.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.42% 71.8% 53.41% 83.49% 104.18% 106.41% 101.17% 99.18%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.29% 10.84% 10.9% 12.37% 7.47% 8.02% 9.04% 9.56%
ROE 28.48% 27.55% 26.13% 27.88% 16.12% 15.91% 17.22% 17.37%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.42x 1.02x 1.02x 1.14x 1.07x 0.94x 0.71x 0.52x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.71x 2.75x 3.78x 2.97x 2.43x 1.96x 1.49x 1.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 6.28% 8.68% 6.53% 5.65% 5.94% 5.66% 5.48%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.59% 18.21% 24.94% 20.21% 17.73% 19.24% 17.76% 17.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.69% 49.13% 92.28% 52.79% 40.3% 40.01% 36.98% 35.27%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 37.01 35.49 36.78 37.87 37.9 34.13 37.31 38.79
Change - -4.1% 3.63% 2.98% 0.08% -9.94% 9.31% 3.95%
Dividend per Share 1 7 12 13 13 13 13.01 14.3 15.77
Change - 71.43% 8.33% 0% 0% 0.06% 9.96% 10.26%
Book Value Per Share 1 93.56 109.8 122.2 135.1 135.5 146 157.8 171.1
Change - 17.31% 11.29% 10.62% 0.28% 7.75% 8.06% 8.43%
EPS 1 23.89 28.03 30.33 25.12 21.85 22.78 26.05 29.43
Change - 17.33% 8.21% -17.18% -13.02% 4.25% 14.35% 13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,03,785 5,01,103 4,99,410 4,99,744 4,95,126 4,96,391 4,96,391 4,96,391
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 21.2x 18.6x
PBR 3.31x 3.06x
EV / Sales 3.23x 3.01x
Yield 2.69% 2.96%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
483.30EUR
Average target price
606.54EUR
Spread / Average Target
+25.50%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise