Projected Income Statement: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 61,932 63,852 1,03,758 1,23,387 1,17,209 98,893 50,735 223
Change - 3.1% 62.5% 18.92% -5.01% -15.63% -48.7% -99.56%
Announcement Date 19/03/21 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 13,786 20,131 24,657 30,329 24,426 32,799 30,473 30,480
Change - 46.03% 22.48% 23% -19.46% 34.28% -7.09% 0.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 482.5 5,941 4,021 6,531 24,435 43,511 64,134 68,313
Change - 1,131.39% -32.31% 62.42% 274.12% 78.07% 47.4% 6.52%
Announcement Date 19/03/21 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.85% 14.75% 15.16% 15.37% 19.5% 22.14% 27.02% 28.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.55% 11.14% 11.45% 10.88% 16.08% 19.5% 25.01% 25.96%
EBT Margin (%) 6.32% 11.01% 11.09% 10.66% 15.83% 20.51% 26.04% 27.13%
Net margin (%) 3.8% 6.96% 7.41% 7.2% 10.56% 13.62% 16.89% 17.58%
FCF margin (%) 0.28% 2.64% 1.49% 2.23% 8.05% 11.45% 14.72% 14.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 7.41% 37.91% 20.06% 30.93% 76.24% 84.07% 87.12% 83.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.25% 8.02% 7.79% 6.51% 8.67% 11.94% 13.83% 14.32%
ROE 12.19% 24.57% 25.29% 21.43% 25.89% 31.01% 33.58% 29.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.33x 1.92x 2.53x 2.74x 1.98x 1.18x 0.43x 0x
Debt / Free cash flow 128.37x 10.75x 25.8x 18.89x 4.8x 2.27x 0.79x 0x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.04% 8.94% 9.12% 10.34% 8.04% 8.63% 6.99% 6.55%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 74.08% 60.62% 60.16% 67.23% 41.26% 38.98% 25.88% 23.1%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2,857.4% 338.85% 613.17% 464.37% 99.96% 75.38% 47.51% 44.62%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5623 1.01 1.089 1.4 1.838 2.716 3.662 3.962
Change - 79.59% 7.86% 28.54% 31.3% 47.73% 34.83% 8.2%
Dividend per Share 1 0.12 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.28 0.6516 0.9146 1.06
Change - 66.67% 0% 0% 40% 132.72% 40.36% 15.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.017 2.698 3.378 4.084 5.199 6.916 9.08 11.46
Change - 33.76% 25.22% 20.88% 27.32% 33.03% 31.29% 26.17%
EPS 1 0.25 0.6 0.76 0.8 1.2 1.935 2.789 3.102
Change - 140% 26.67% 5.26% 50% 61.26% 44.12% 11.23%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,53,77,260 2,63,30,112 2,63,25,562 2,62,86,311 2,65,37,629 2,64,85,472 2,64,85,472 2,64,85,472
Announcement Date 19/03/21 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 18.5x 12.8x
PBR 5.17x 3.94x
EV / Sales 2.72x 2.26x
Yield 1.82% 2.56%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
35.77CNY
Average target price
48.13CNY
Spread / Average Target
+34.56%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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