Projected Income Statement: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 63,852 1,03,758 1,23,387 1,17,209 98,636 27,705 -24,978 -94,773
Change - 62.5% 18.92% -5.01% -15.85% -71.91% -190.16% -279.43%
Announcement Date 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 20/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 20,131 24,657 30,329 24,426 30,651 33,410 31,955 32,944
Change - 22.48% 23% -19.46% 25.48% 9% -4.35% 3.09%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,941 4,021 6,531 24,435 44,779 73,996 96,414 1,11,406
Change - -32.31% 62.42% 274.12% 83.26% 65.25% 30.3% 15.55%
Announcement Date 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 20/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.75% 15.16% 15.37% 19.5% 28.22% 29.62% 30.71% 32.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.14% 11.45% 10.88% 16.08% 23.52% 26.04% 27.3% 28.45%
EBT Margin (%) 11.01% 11.09% 10.66% 15.83% 23.13% 26.64% 28.13% 29.59%
Net margin (%) 6.96% 7.41% 7.2% 10.56% 14.83% 16.98% 17.91% 18.68%
FCF margin (%) 2.64% 1.49% 2.23% 8.05% 12.83% 15.62% 19.23% 21.56%
FCF / Net Income (%) 37.91% 20.06% 30.93% 76.24% 86.48% 91.97% 107.39% 115.44%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.02% 7.79% 6.51% 8.67% 11.4% 13.9% 14.14% 15.34%
ROE 24.57% 25.29% 21.43% 25.89% 33.04% 36.15% 30.24% 26.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.92x 2.53x 2.74x 1.98x 1x 0.2x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 10.75x 25.8x 18.89x 4.8x 2.2x 0.37x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.94% 9.12% 10.34% 8.04% 8.78% 7.05% 6.37% 6.38%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 60.62% 60.16% 67.23% 41.26% 31.11% 23.8% 20.75% 19.64%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 338.85% 613.17% 464.37% 99.96% 68.45% 45.15% 33.14% 29.57%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.01 1.089 1.4 1.838 2.837 4.394 4.517 5.487
Change - 7.86% 28.54% 31.3% 54.31% 54.89% 2.8% 21.48%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.28 0.38 1.01 1.09 1.108
Change - 0% 0% 40% 35.71% 165.91% 7.92% 1.59%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.698 3.378 4.084 5.199 6.978 9.522 11.89 14.68
Change - 25.22% 20.88% 27.32% 34.22% 36.46% 24.84% 23.46%
EPS 1 0.6 0.76 0.8 1.2 1.91 3.043 3.38 3.588
Change - 26.67% 5.26% 50% 59.17% 59.34% 11.06% 6.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,63,30,112 2,63,25,562 2,62,86,311 2,65,37,629 2,64,85,472 2,64,08,979 2,64,08,979 2,64,08,979
Announcement Date 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 20/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 10.2x 9.22x
PBR 3.27x 2.62x
EV / Sales 1.77x 1.57x
Yield 3.24% 3.5%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
31.16CNY
Average target price
48.08CNY
Spread / Average Target
+54.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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