Projected Income Statement: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 61,932 63,852 1,03,758 1,23,387 1,17,209 98,936 53,149 27,291
Change - 3.1% 62.5% 18.92% -5.01% -15.59% -46.28% -48.65%
Announcement Date 19/03/21 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 13,786 20,131 24,657 30,329 24,426 32,209 31,085 31,505
Change - 46.03% 22.48% 23% -19.46% 31.86% -3.49% 1.35%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 482.5 5,941 4,021 6,531 24,435 29,696 57,172 68,313
Change - 1,131.39% -32.31% 62.42% 274.12% 21.53% 92.53% 19.49%
Announcement Date 19/03/21 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.85% 14.75% 15.16% 15.37% 19.5% 22.89% 25.81% 27.3%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.55% 11.14% 11.45% 10.88% 16.08% 19.89% 22.9% 24.16%
EBT Margin (%) 6.32% 11.01% 11.09% 10.66% 15.83% 20.86% 23.56% 25.05%
Net margin (%) 3.8% 6.96% 7.41% 7.2% 10.56% 13.98% 15.36% 16.35%
FCF margin (%) 0.28% 2.64% 1.49% 2.23% 8.05% 8.1% 13.71% 15.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 7.41% 37.91% 20.06% 30.93% 76.24% 57.97% 89.24% 96.53%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.25% 8.02% 7.79% 6.51% 8.67% 11.47% 12.61% 12.76%
ROE 12.19% 24.57% 25.29% 21.43% 25.89% 30.14% 29.83% 26.52%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.33x 1.92x 2.53x 2.74x 1.98x 1.18x 0.49x 0.23x
Debt / Free cash flow 128.37x 10.75x 25.8x 18.89x 4.8x 3.33x 0.93x 0.4x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.04% 8.94% 9.12% 10.34% 8.04% 8.79% 7.46% 7.28%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 74.08% 60.62% 60.16% 67.23% 41.26% 38.41% 28.88% 26.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2,857.4% 338.85% 613.17% 464.37% 99.96% 108.46% 54.37% 46.12%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5623 1.01 1.089 1.4 1.838 2.549 3.107 3.236
Change - 79.59% 7.86% 28.54% 31.3% 38.65% 21.89% 4.15%
Dividend per Share 1 0.12 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.28 0.6049 0.7372 0.8495
Change - 66.67% 0% 0% 40% 116.03% 21.87% 15.23%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.017 2.698 3.378 4.084 5.199 6.814 8.585 10.5
Change - 33.76% 25.22% 20.88% 27.32% 31.07% 25.99% 22.35%
EPS 1 0.25 0.6 0.76 0.8 1.2 1.925 2.425 2.661
Change - 140% 26.67% 5.26% 50% 60.41% 25.97% 9.75%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,53,77,260 2,63,30,112 2,63,25,562 2,62,86,311 2,65,37,629 2,64,85,472 2,64,85,472 2,64,85,472
Announcement Date 19/03/21 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 19.9x 15.8x
PBR 5.61x 4.45x
EV / Sales 3x 2.52x
Yield 1.58% 1.93%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
38.24CNY
Average target price
40.25CNY
Spread / Average Target
+5.25%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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