Projected Income Statement: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 61,932 63,852 1,03,758 1,23,387 1,17,209 98,785 67,219 55,700
Change - 3.1% 62.5% 18.92% -5.01% -15.72% -31.95% -17.14%
Announcement Date 19/03/21 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 13,786 20,131 24,657 30,329 24,426 28,491 27,556 27,635
Change - 46.03% 22.48% 23% -19.46% 16.64% -3.28% 0.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 482.5 5,941 4,021 6,531 24,435 31,500 42,384 51,949
Change - 1,131.39% -32.31% 62.42% 274.12% 28.92% 34.55% 22.57%
Announcement Date 19/03/21 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Zijin Mining Group Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.85% 14.75% 15.16% 15.37% 19.5% 20.32% 21.65% 23.39%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.55% 11.14% 11.45% 10.88% 16.08% 17.13% 18.34% 19.78%
EBT Margin (%) 6.32% 11.01% 11.09% 10.66% 15.83% 17.44% 18.78% 20.52%
Net margin (%) 3.8% 6.96% 7.41% 7.2% 10.56% 11.62% 12.45% 13.49%
FCF margin (%) 0.28% 2.64% 1.49% 2.23% 8.05% 8.75% 11.19% 13.51%
FCF / Net Income (%) 7.41% 37.91% 20.06% 30.93% 76.24% 75.36% 89.9% 100.12%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.25% 8.02% 7.79% 6.51% 8.67% 9.88% 9.91% 10.17%
ROE 12.19% 24.57% 25.29% 21.43% 25.89% 25.8% 23.58% 21.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.33x 1.92x 2.53x 2.74x 1.98x 1.35x 0.82x 0.62x
Debt / Free cash flow 128.37x 10.75x 25.8x 18.89x 4.8x 3.14x 1.59x 1.07x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.04% 8.94% 9.12% 10.34% 8.04% 7.92% 7.28% 7.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 74.08% 60.62% 60.16% 67.23% 41.26% 38.96% 33.62% 30.72%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2,857.4% 338.85% 613.17% 464.37% 99.96% 90.45% 65.02% 53.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5607 1.01 1.092 1.4 1.821 2.312 2.605 2.866
Change - 80.1% 8.14% 28.21% 30.05% 26.95% 12.69% 10%
Dividend per Share 1 0.12 0.2 0.2 0.25 0.38 0.5122 0.5479 0.5979
Change - 66.67% 0% 25% 52% 34.8% 6.97% 9.12%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.228 2.698 3.378 4.084 5.259 6.526 7.713 9.029
Change - 21.09% 25.22% 20.91% 28.77% 24.09% 18.18% 17.07%
EPS 1 0.25 0.6 0.76 0.8 1.2 1.601 1.806 1.984
Change - 140% 26.67% 5.26% 50% 33.44% 12.78% 9.84%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,53,77,260 2,63,30,112 2,63,25,562 2,62,86,311 2,65,37,629 2,64,73,313 2,64,73,313 2,64,73,313
Announcement Date 19/03/21 18/03/22 24/03/23 22/03/24 21/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 11.4x 10.1x
PBR 2.8x 2.37x
EV / Sales 1.65x 1.49x
Yield 2.8% 3%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
18.26CNY
Average target price
21.66CNY
Spread / Average Target
+18.59%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 2899 Stock
  4. Financials Zijin Mining Group Company Limited