Projected Income Statement: Woolworths Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Woolworths Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 13,860 15,777 14,660 15,504 15,989 15,904 15,715 15,420
Change - 13.83% -7.08% 5.76% 3.13% -0.53% -1.19% -1.88%
Announcement Date 25/08/21 24/08/22 22/08/23 27/08/24 26/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Woolworths Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,389 2,416 2,519 2,548 2,528 2,176 2,235 2,290
Change - 1.13% 4.26% 1.15% -0.78% -13.93% 2.72% 2.45%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,235 962 2,235 1,811 2,022 2,231 2,500 2,794
Change - -56.96% 132.33% -18.97% 11.65% 10.32% 12.05% 11.77%
Announcement Date 25/08/21 24/08/22 22/08/23 27/08/24 26/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Woolworths Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.32% 8.3% 8.86% 8.84% 8.26% 8.53% 8.66% 8.87%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.44% 4.42% 4.85% 4.75% 3.99% 4.26% 4.41% 4.65%
EBT Margin (%) 4.38% 13.93% 3.61% 1.29% 1.99% 2.4% 3.31% 3.58%
Net margin (%) 3.08% 13.04% 2.52% 0.16% 1.39% 1.49% 2.32% 2.5%
FCF margin (%) 3.32% 1.58% 3.48% 2.67% 2.93% 3.11% 3.35% 3.6%
FCF / Net Income (%) 107.76% 12.13% 138.13% 1,676.85% 209.97% 208.52% 144.51% 144%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.87% 4.18% 4.59% 5.06% 4.09% 5.69% 5.79% 6.77%
ROE 29.72% 41.15% 24.76% 28.9% 26.98% 31.75% 33.12% 33.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.21x 3.12x 2.57x 2.58x 2.8x 2.6x 2.43x 2.24x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.2x 16.4x 6.56x 8.56x 7.91x 7.13x 6.29x 5.52x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.55% 3.97% 3.92% 3.75% 3.66% 3.04% 2.99% 2.95%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.1% 47.83% 44.24% 42.46% 44.3% 35.58% 34.54% 33.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 106.89% 251.14% 112.71% 140.7% 125.02% 97.54% 89.41% 81.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.662 2.746 3.887 3.6 3.703 3.593 4.037 4.202
Change - -25.02% 41.54% -7.38% 2.86% -2.98% 12.37% 4.08%
Dividend per Share 1 1.08 0.92 1.04 1.44 0.84 0.9429 1.05 1.181
Change - -14.81% 13.04% 38.46% -41.67% 12.25% 11.33% 12.51%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.88 4.926 5.272 4.427 3.978 4.033 4.456 4.935
Change - -54.72% 7.02% -16.03% -10.13% 1.37% 10.49% 10.75%
EPS 1 1.642 6.448 1.323 0.089 0.784 0.8702 1.411 1.583
Change - 292.69% -79.48% -93.27% 780.9% 11% 62.11% 12.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 12,66,170 12,08,827 12,13,902 12,21,098 12,21,095 12,21,499 12,21,499 12,21,499
Announcement Date 25/08/21 24/08/22 22/08/23 27/08/24 26/08/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 39.3x 24.2x
PBR 8.48x 7.68x
EV / Sales 0.8x 0.77x
Yield 2.76% 3.07%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
34.21AUD
Average target price
34.80AUD
Spread / Average Target
+1.74%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. WOW Stock
  4. Financials Woolworths Group Limited