Projected Income Statement: Vopak

Forecast Balance Sheet: Vopak

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,925 3,051 2,286 2,672 2,700 2,710 2,816 2,878
Change - 4.31% -25.07% 16.89% 1.05% 0.37% 3.91% 2.2%
Announcement Date 16/02/22 15/02/23 14/02/24 19/02/25 25/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Vopak

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 493 368.2 396.5 314.9 343.3 446.1 424.4 453.3
Change - -25.31% 7.69% -20.58% 9.02% 29.93% -4.86% 6.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 189 457 469.7 594.2 556.8 126.2 226.8 274.4
Change - 141.8% 2.78% 26.51% -6.29% -77.34% 79.83% 20.94%
Announcement Date 16/02/22 15/02/23 14/02/24 19/02/25 25/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Vopak

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 67.32% 64.9% 67.59% 71.04% 72.4% 71.72% 75.05% 76.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 40.3% 40.04% 44.93% 47.67% 48.13% 43.37% 45.43% 46.04%
EBT Margin (%) 24.69% -2.68% - - 55% 30.25% 31.92% 35.42%
Net margin (%) 17.44% -12.32% 31.97% 28.56% 46.5% 28.68% 31.95% 34.51%
FCF margin (%) 15.39% 33.43% 32.95% 45.17% 42.87% 9.54% 16.73% 19.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 88.24% -271.38% 103.07% 158.16% 92.19% 33.27% 52.36% 57%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 9.25% 9.5% 13.3% 12.76% 12.95% 11.47% 12.48% 13.13%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.54x 3.44x 2.37x 2.86x 2.87x 2.86x 2.77x 2.7x
Debt / Free cash flow 15.48x 6.68x 4.87x 4.5x 4.85x 21.48x 12.41x 10.49x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 40.15% 26.93% 27.81% 23.94% 26.43% 33.73% 31.29% 32.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 59.64% 41.5% 41.15% 33.69% 36.51% 47.03% 41.7% 42.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 260.85% 80.57% 84.42% 53% 61.66% 353.6% 187.08% 165.24%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.445 6.961 6.889 7.52 7.796 7.001 7.648 8.071
Change - 27.85% -1.05% 9.17% 3.67% -10.19% 9.23% 5.53%
Dividend per Share 1 1.25 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.836 1.912 1.992
Change - 4% 15.38% 6.67% 0% 14.75% 4.14% 4.18%
Book Value Per Share 1 26.69 23.8 25.63 25.69 28.29 30.25 32.09 34.27
Change - -10.82% 7.69% 0.23% 10.1% 6.95% 6.07% 6.81%
EPS 1 1.71 -1.34 3.63 3.12 5.23 3.302 3.787 4.228
Change - -178.36% 370.9% -14.05% 67.63% -36.86% 14.69% 11.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,25,433 1,25,416 1,25,484 1,12,029 1,15,264 1,14,608 1,14,608 1,14,608
Announcement Date 16/02/22 15/02/23 14/02/24 19/02/25 25/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14x 12.2x
PBR 1.53x 1.44x
EV / Sales 6.06x 5.99x
Yield 3.97% 4.13%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
46.26EUR
Average target price
51.90EUR
Spread / Average Target
+12.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise