Projected Income Statement: Volvo

Forecast Balance Sheet: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -50,400 -61,300 -66,700 -67,200 -48,400 -57,280 -69,507 -80,082
Change - -21.63% -8.81% -0.75% 27.98% -18.35% -21.35% -15.21%
Announcement Date 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 18,117 20,456 23,387 17,904 25,460 24,004 22,946 24,899
Change - 12.91% 14.33% -23.44% 42.2% -5.72% -4.41% 8.51%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 15,530 12,788 11,130 28,540 20,135 34,256 41,045 44,071
Change - -17.66% -12.97% 156.42% -29.45% 70.13% 19.82% 7.37%
Announcement Date 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.05% 15.04% 17.89% 16.75% 15.59% 15.69% 16.64% 17.01%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.02% 10.66% 14.05% 12.47% 10.69% 11.63% 12.49% 12.96%
EBT Margin (%) 11.6% 9.52% 12.07% 12.76% 9.89% 11.04% 12.55% 13.02%
Net margin (%) 8.81% 6.91% 9.01% 9.56% 7.19% 8.42% 9.57% 9.81%
FCF margin (%) 4.17% 2.7% 2.01% 5.42% 4.2% 6.89% 7.6% 7.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) 47.37% 39.08% 22.34% 56.64% 58.44% 81.83% 79.37% 78.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.39% 5.72% 8.95% 7.16% 5.35% 7.9% 8.67% 8.81%
ROE 21.79% 23.83% 34.26% 26.74% 19.57% 23.99% 25.99% 25.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.87% 4.32% 4.23% 3.4% 5.31% 4.83% 4.25% 4.37%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.33% 28.73% 23.66% 20.28% 34.08% 30.78% 25.52% 25.71%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 116.66% 159.96% 210.13% 62.73% 126.45% 70.07% 55.91% 56.5%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 16.55 16.35 13.12 22.85 22.43 27.35 35.24 35.26
Change - -1.2% -19.76% 74.15% -1.85% 21.97% 28.83% 0.07%
Dividend per Share 1 13 14 18 18.5 13 15.54 18.36 19.68
Change - 7.69% 28.57% 2.78% -29.73% 19.53% 18.14% 7.18%
Book Value Per Share 1 69.36 80.03 87.45 95.4 87.7 96.33 104.7 112.9
Change - 15.39% 9.28% 9.09% -8.07% 9.84% 8.67% 7.8%
EPS 1 16.12 16.09 24.5 24.78 16.94 20.59 24.96 26.99
Change - -0.19% 52.27% 1.14% -31.64% 21.55% 21.24% 8.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452 20,33,452
Announcement Date 28/01/22 26/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.7x 14.6x
PBR 3.78x 3.48x
EV / Sales 1.37x 1.24x
Yield 4.27% 5.04%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
364.10SEK
Average target price
355.27SEK
Spread / Average Target
-2.43%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise