Projected Income Statement: Valero Energy Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,748 6,773 6,100 5,806 5,931 5,639 5,570 4,798
Change - -30.52% -9.94% -4.82% 2.15% -4.92% -1.22% -13.86%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,458 2,737 1,916 2,057 1,888 1,766 1,724 1,614
Change - 11.35% -30% 7.36% -8.22% -6.46% -2.37% -6.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,401 9,837 7,313 4,626 3,938 7,230 5,776 5,321
Change - 189.24% -25.66% -36.74% -14.87% 83.61% -20.12% -7.87%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.98% 10.3% 10.06% 5.03% 6.16% 8.27% 7.32% 7.67%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.05% 8.9% 8.19% 2.89% 2.59% 6.41% 5.39% 5.16%
EBT Margin (%) 1.35% 8.68% 8.13% 2.85% 2.45% 6.35% 6.25% 6.61%
Net margin (%) 0.82% 6.54% 6.1% 2.13% 1.91% 5.41% 4.48% 4.94%
FCF margin (%) 2.98% 5.58% 5.05% 3.56% 3.21% 5.66% 4.66% 4.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) 365.7% 85.33% 82.77% 167% 167.72% 104.65% 103.93% 91.73%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.7% 19.4% 14.25% 4.45% - 10.89% 8.85% -
ROE 5% 54.91% 35.41% 10.89% 9.74% 25.63% 21.59% 20.52%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.15x 0.37x 0.42x 0.89x 0.78x 0.53x 0.61x 0.53x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.87x 0.69x 0.83x 1.26x 1.51x 0.78x 0.96x 0.9x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.16% 1.55% 1.32% 1.58% 1.54% 1.38% 1.39% 1.37%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.2% 15.07% 13.16% 31.51% 24.98% 16.71% 18.99% 17.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 72.27% 27.82% 26.2% 44.47% 47.94% 24.42% 29.85% 30.32%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.929 35.86 26.14 18.29 19.48 28.03 26.44 31.18
Change - 301.61% -27.09% -30.06% 6.51% 43.92% -5.67% 17.92%
Dividend per Share 1 3.92 3.92 4.08 4.28 4.52 4.83 5.08 5.238
Change - 0% 4.08% 4.9% 5.61% 6.86% 5.18% 3.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 45.28 63.31 79.24 77.82 - 80.23 82.98 85.52
Change - 39.82% 25.15% -1.79% - - 3.42% 3.07%
EPS 1 2.27 29.04 24.92 8.58 7.57 23.87 20.7 23.29
Change - 1,179.3% -14.19% -65.57% -11.77% 215.34% -13.26% 12.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,08,836 3,85,523 3,40,453 3,16,585 3,05,010 2,98,954 2,98,954 2,98,954
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 10.1x 11.7x
PBR 3.02x 2.92x
EV / Sales 0.61x 0.63x
Yield 2% 2.1%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
242.08USD
Average target price
247.67USD
Spread / Average Target
+2.31%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. VLO Stock
  4. Financials Valero Energy Corporation