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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 18.45 EUR | +0.87% |
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-3.61% | -17.00% |
| 17/07 | Musk's X, major labels end dispute over music on social-media platform | RE |
| 23/06 | Top cases on the US Supreme Court's docket | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Universal Music Group N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 8,504 | 10,340 | 11,108 | 11,834 | 12,507 | 13,552 | 14,610 | 15,620 |
| Change | - | 21.59% | 7.43% | 6.54% | 5.69% | 8.35% | 7.81% | 6.91% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,788 | 2,135 | 2,369 | 2,661 | 2,810 | 2,918 | 3,196 | 3,512 |
| Change | - | 19.41% | 10.96% | 12.33% | 5.6% | 3.84% | 9.55% | 9.88% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,399 | 1,600 | 1,418 | 1,775 | 1,998 | 2,242 | 2,498 | 2,743 |
| Change | - | 14.37% | -11.38% | 25.18% | 12.56% | 12.23% | 11.39% | 9.82% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -234 | -698 | 303 | 1,092 | -233 | -203.2 | -199.5 | -196 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,165 | 900 | 1,721 | 2,871 | 2,086 | 2,227 | 2,513 | 2,695 |
| Change | - | -22.75% | 91.22% | 66.82% | -27.34% | 6.77% | 12.83% | 7.22% |
| Net income 1 | 886 | 782 | 1,259 | 2,086 | 1,533 | 1,556 | 1,781 | 2,035 |
| Change | - | -11.74% | 61% | 65.69% | -26.51% | 1.49% | 14.46% | 14.26% |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/22 | 02/03/23 | 28/02/24 | 06/03/25 | 05/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Universal Music Group N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 2,010 | 1,810 | 1,689 | 2,098 | 2,390 | 3,038 | 2,575 | 2,246 |
| Change | - | -9.95% | -6.69% | 24.22% | 13.92% | 27.11% | -15.24% | -12.78% |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/22 | 02/03/23 | 28/02/24 | 06/03/25 | 05/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Universal Music Group N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 61 | 93 | 121 | 183 | 195 | 297.1 | 242.4 | 236.3 |
| Change | - | 52.46% | 30.11% | 51.24% | 6.56% | 52.37% | -18.41% | -2.51% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,079 | 1,639 | 1,764 | 1,082 | 702 | 1,219 | 1,659 | 1,990 |
| Change | - | 51.9% | 7.63% | -38.66% | -35.12% | 73.62% | 36.1% | 19.94% |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/22 | 02/03/23 | 28/02/24 | 06/03/25 | 05/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Universal Music Group N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 21.03% | 20.65% | 21.33% | 22.49% | 22.47% | 21.53% | 21.88% | 22.49% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 16.45% | 15.47% | 12.77% | 15% | 15.98% | 16.55% | 17.1% | 17.56% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 13.7% | 8.7% | 15.49% | 24.26% | 16.68% | 16.43% | 17.2% | 17.25% |
| Net margin (%) | 10.42% | 7.56% | 11.33% | 17.63% | 12.26% | 11.48% | 12.19% | 13.03% |
| FCF margin (%) | 12.69% | 15.85% | 15.88% | 9.14% | 5.61% | 8.99% | 11.35% | 12.74% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 121.78% | 209.59% | 140.11% | 51.87% | 45.79% | 78.34% | 93.15% | 97.79% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 10.76% | 12.25% | 10.18% | 13.72% | 8.82% | 11.45% | 11.79% | 10.56% |
| ROE | 69.38% | 66.38% | 47.39% | 55.72% | 33.81% | 39.42% | 38.15% | 36.4% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.12x | 0.85x | 0.71x | 0.79x | 0.85x | 1.04x | 0.81x | 0.64x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.86x | 1.1x | 0.96x | 1.94x | 3.4x | 2.49x | 1.55x | 1.13x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 0.72% | 0.9% | 1.09% | 1.55% | 1.56% | 2.19% | 1.66% | 1.51% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 3.41% | 4.36% | 5.11% | 6.88% | 6.94% | 10.18% | 7.58% | 6.73% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 5.65% | 5.67% | 6.86% | 16.91% | 27.78% | 24.38% | 14.62% | 11.88% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.6288 | 0.9524 | 1.036 | 0.9606 | 0.9487 | 1.007 | 1.199 | 1.148 |
| Change | - | 51.46% | 8.81% | -7.3% | -1.24% | 6.19% | 19.06% | -4.31% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.4 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.5566 | 0.5992 | 0.6451 |
| Change | - | 27.5% | 0% | 1.96% | 0% | 7.04% | 7.65% | 7.65% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 1.12 | 1.295 | 1.628 | 2.474 | 2.477 | 2.515 | 2.936 | 3.396 |
| Change | - | 15.62% | 25.78% | 51.96% | 0.11% | 1.54% | 16.74% | 15.65% |
| EPS 1 | 0.49 | 0.43 | 0.68 | 1.13 | 0.83 | 0.8464 | 0.9602 | 1.085 |
| Change | - | -12.24% | 58.14% | 66.18% | -26.55% | 1.98% | 13.44% | 13.01% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 18,13,376 | 18,13,046 | 18,21,431 | 18,29,067 | 18,33,946 | 18,32,950 | 18,32,950 | 18,32,950 |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/22 | 02/03/23 | 28/02/24 | 06/03/25 | 05/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 21.8x | 19.2x |
| PBR | 7.34x | 6.28x |
| EV / Sales | 2.72x | 2.49x |
| Yield | 3.02% | 3.25% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Global
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Universal Music Group N.V.
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