Projected Income Statement: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Forecast Balance Sheet: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -3,14,907 -3,35,431 -7,07,836 -7,64,452 -14,35,557 -17,06,588 -23,70,980 -32,30,191
Change - -6.52% -111.02% -8% -87.79% -18.88% -38.93% -36.24%
Announcement Date 14/01/21 13/01/22 12/01/23 18/01/24 16/01/25 - - -
1TWD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 5,07,239 8,39,196 10,82,672 9,49,820 9,56,007 12,87,053 13,68,410 14,51,232
Change - 65.44% 29.01% -12.27% 0.65% 34.63% 6.32% 6.05%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,15,430 2,72,965 5,27,927 2,92,150 8,70,170 8,21,986 11,57,290 18,71,333
Change - -13.46% 93.4% -44.66% 197.85% -5.54% 40.79% 61.7%
Announcement Date 14/01/21 13/01/22 12/01/23 18/01/24 16/01/25 - - -
1TWD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 67.09% 67.55% 68.84% 67.24% 68.58% 67.42% 67.02% 66.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 42.32% 40.95% 49.53% 42.63% 45.68% 47.52% 47.1% 46.77%
EBT Margin (%) 43.66% 41.77% 50.54% 45.3% 48.57% 50.4% 49.74% 49.33%
Net margin (%) 38.67% 37.58% 44.9% 38.79% 40.54% 42.15% 41.92% 41.4%
FCF margin (%) 23.55% 17.2% 23.32% 13.51% 30.06% 22.5% 27.32% 37.6%
FCF / Net Income (%) 60.91% 45.76% 51.93% 34.84% 74.17% 53.39% 65.18% 90.83%

Profitability

        
ROA 20.61% 16.9% 23.39% 15.98% 19.2% 20.44% 20.09% 20.31%
ROE 29.8% 29.69% 39.76% 26.2% 30.29% 30.55% 28.54% 27.75%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 37.87% 52.87% 47.82% 43.94% 33.03% 35.24% 32.31% 29.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 56.45% 78.26% 69.47% 65.34% 48.17% 52.27% 48.2% 43.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 160.81% 307.44% 205.08% 325.11% 109.86% 156.58% 118.24% 77.55%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 31.73 42.89 62.12 47.9 70.43 85.52 97.36 114.1
Change - 35.19% 44.82% -22.89% 47.03% 21.43% 13.84% 17.23%
Dividend per Share 1 10 11 11 13 16.99 18.57 21.4 26.31
Change - 10% 0% 18.18% 30.69% 9.28% 15.25% 22.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 71.33 83.62 113.6 133.4 165.4 207.9 255.7 308.9
Change - 17.23% 35.86% 17.42% 23.98% 25.7% 23% 20.81%
EPS 1 19.98 23.01 39.2 32.34 45.25 58.95 68.29 79.84
Change - 15.17% 70.36% -17.5% 39.92% 30.29% 15.83% 16.92%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,59,30,380 2,59,30,380 2,59,30,380 2,59,32,071 2,59,32,733 2,59,32,616 2,59,32,616 2,59,32,616
Announcement Date 14/01/21 13/01/22 12/01/23 18/01/24 16/01/25 - - -
1TWD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 18.5x 16x
PBR 5.24x 4.26x
EV / Sales 7.27x 6.11x
Yield 1.7% 1.96%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
31
Last Close Price
1,090.00TWD
Average target price
1,244.12TWD
Spread / Average Target
+14.14%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)