Company Valuation: Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 1,09,177 1,20,911 84,165 92,347 72,078 64,024 - -
Change - 10.75% -30.39% 9.72% -21.95% -11.17% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 94,874 1,03,330 64,933 74,410 59,255 50,167 48,587 48,663
Change - 8.91% -37.16% 14.59% -20.37% -15.34% -3.15% 0.16%
P/E 42.6x 39.4x 23.9x 25.4x 18.2x 15.7x 14.8x 14.3x
PBR 5.87x 5.75x 3.71x 3.8x 2.72x 2.33x 2.16x 2.1x
PEG - 2.3x 1.6x 14.46x 3.3x 3.63x 2.49x 4.13x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.62x 3.76x 2.48x 2.87x 2.22x 1.93x 1.88x 1.83x
EV / Revenue 3.14x 3.21x 1.91x 2.32x 1.82x 1.51x 1.43x 1.39x
EV / EBITDA 17.1x 17x 9.46x 10.6x 7.94x 7.11x 6.62x 6.33x
EV / EBIT 21.3x 20.7x 11.3x 12.7x 9.53x 8.39x 7.72x 7.35x
EV / FCF 21.4x 32.9x 34.5x 23.2x 23.8x 11.8x 10.8x 10.3x
FCF Yield 4.68% 3.04% 2.9% 4.32% 4.2% 8.48% 9.24% 9.7%
Dividend per Share 2 1.1 1.8 2 2.2 2.35 2.445 2.627 2.693
Rate of return 1.11% 1.67% 2.68% 2.72% 3.84% 4.45% 4.78% 4.9%
EPS 2 2.324 2.728 3.132 3.187 3.363 3.509 3.717 3.846
Distribution rate 47.3% 66% 63.9% 69% 69.9% 69.7% 70.7% 70%
Net sales 1 30,167 32,172 33,937 32,138 32,473 33,123 33,968 34,907
EBITDA 1 5,546 6,078 6,865 7,023 7,465 7,055 7,339 7,688
EBIT 1 4,455 5,001 5,737 5,843 6,218 5,979 6,294 6,622
Net income 1 3,155 3,711 4,268 4,345 4,588 4,788 5,036 5,289
Net Debt 1 -14,303 -17,580 -19,232 -17,937 -12,823 -13,857 -15,437 -15,361
Reference price 2 99.00 107.50 74.75 80.92 61.20 54.94 54.94 54.94
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,64,355 13,64,233 13,64,197 13,64,197 13,64,195 13,64,195 - -
Announcement Date 28/03/22 22/03/23 26/03/24 30/03/25 26/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
15.66x1.51x7.11x4.45% 945.62Cr
16.97x3.33x9.2x1.81% 16TCr
14.99x2.42x7.17x6.13% 4.75TCr
16.53x1.87x8.28x2.67% 4.68TCr
11.05x3.61x9.7x3.14% 2.25TCr
15.02x1.97x9.18x3.41% 1.97TCr
17.07x1.25x8.94x3.19% 1.43TCr
13.23x1.22x8.48x2.67% 1.41TCr
Average 15.07x 2.15x 8.51x 3.43% 4.12TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 15.91x 2.70x 8.71x 2.91%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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