Projected Income Statement: Trip.com Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Trip.com Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 29,763 27,364 3,364 -40,001 -15,686 -66,732 -87,753 -1,07,735
Change - -8.06% -87.71% -1,289.09% 60.79% -325.42% -31.5% -22.77%
Announcement Date 23/03/22 06/03/23 21/02/24 24/02/25 25/02/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Trip.com Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 570 497 606 591 712 842.3 915.9 971
Change - -12.81% 21.93% -2.48% 20.47% 18.31% 8.73% 6.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,905 2,144 21,398 19,034 13,582 18,655 19,976 22,820
Change - 12.55% 898.04% -11.05% -28.64% 37.35% 7.08% 14.24%
Announcement Date 23/03/22 06/03/23 21/02/24 24/02/25 25/02/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Trip.com Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.45% 10.73% 31.4% 32.03% 30.26% 29.58% 30.58% 30.84%
EBIT Margin (%) -7.05% 0.44% 25.44% 26.6% 25.27% 25.07% 26.01% 25.81%
EBT Margin (%) -2.35% 13.15% 23.99% 31.9% 62.25% 29.66% 30.25% 30.24%
Net margin (%) -2.75% 7% 22.28% 32.02% 53.35% 26.05% 26.19% 25.78%
FCF margin (%) 9.51% 10.7% 48.07% 35.72% 21.76% 26.33% 25.07% 25.52%
FCF / Net Income (%) -346.36% 152.82% 215.75% 111.53% 40.79% 101.08% 95.75% 98.97%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.72% 0.68% 4.83% 7.39% 13.06% 6.16% 6.49% 6.69%
ROE 1.29% 1.26% 8.46% 12.93% 21.3% 10.23% 10.57% 10.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 23.05x 12.72x 0.24x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 15.62x 12.76x 0.16x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.85% 2.48% 1.36% 1.11% 1.14% 1.19% 1.15% 1.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 44.15% 23.11% 4.34% 3.46% 3.77% 4.02% 3.76% 3.52%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 29.92% 23.18% 2.83% 3.1% 5.24% 4.52% 4.58% 4.25%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.624 5.237 19 28.5 21.43 31.3 34.79 42.79
Change - 44.5% 262.76% 50% -24.8% 46.08% 11.14% 23.01%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 2.175 2.051 2.413 2.045 2.638
Change - - - - -5.7% 17.63% -15.28% 29.01%
Book Value Per Share 1 171 173.8 188.9 216.8 259.7 284.9 315.2 352.9
Change - 1.63% 8.71% 14.76% 19.78% 9.7% 10.64% 11.96%
EPS 1 -0.87 2.14 14.78 24.78 47.67 25.28 29.13 31.93
Change - 345.98% 590.65% 67.66% 92.37% -46.97% 15.22% 9.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,37,456 6,41,754 6,42,550 6,59,252 6,53,603 6,29,705 6,29,705 6,29,705
Announcement Date 23/03/22 06/03/23 21/02/24 24/02/25 25/02/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 12.4x 10.8x
PBR 1.1x 1x
EV / Sales 1.85x 1.38x
Yield 0.77% 0.65%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
314.46CNY
Average target price
521.33CNY
Spread / Average Target
+65.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. TCOM Stock
  4. Financials Trip.com Group Limited
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