Projected Income Statement: Tianshan Material Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tianshan Material Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt - - 81,204 91,227 - - - -
Change - - - 12.34% - - - -
Announcement Date 11/03/21 21/03/22 21/03/23 26/03/24 26/03/25 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tianshan Material Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 126.5 18,955 14,484 9,279 8,548 8,000 4,000 4,000
Change - 14,889.06% -23.59% -35.94% -7.88% -6.41% -50% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - 8,208 768.2 7,672 - - - -
Change - - -90.64% 898.75% - - - -
Announcement Date 11/03/21 21/03/22 21/03/23 26/03/24 26/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tianshan Material Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 33.91% 17.79% 12.99% 12.37% 12.17% 15.21% 19.81% 20.59%
EBIT Margin (%) 24.87% 12.01% 4.98% 2.4% 0.03% 0.25% 3.74% 4.59%
EBT Margin (%) 24.53% 12.22% 4.84% 2.88% 0.12% 1.72% 4.33% 5.14%
Net margin (%) 17.44% 7.37% 3.43% 1.83% -0.69% 1% 2.84% 3.36%
FCF margin (%) - 4.83% 0.58% 7.14% - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - 65.51% 16.91% 390.42% - - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 10.02% - 1.58% 0.67% -0.21% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8%
ROE 14.95% 16.44% 5.65% 2.41% -0.72% 0.82% 2.62% 3.09%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 4.72x 6.87x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 105.71x 11.89x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.45% 11.15% 10.92% 8.64% 9.83% 10.46% 4.93% 4.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4.29% 62.67% 84.11% 69.83% 80.72% 68.8% 24.87% 23.78%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - 230.93% 1,885.52% 120.94% - - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.447 3.55 1.761 1.957 1.752 1.65 2.21 2.13
Change - 45.1% -50.41% 11.13% -10.44% -5.84% 33.94% -3.62%
Dividend per Share 1 0.48 0.33 0.27 0.114 - - - -
Change - -31.25% -18.18% -57.78% - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.14 9.097 9.443 9.713 11.63 11.74 12 12.21
Change - -10.27% 3.81% 2.86% 19.78% 0.91% 2.21% 1.78%
EPS 1 1.446 1.565 0.5259 0.2268 -0.0746 0.11 0.3267 0.3867
Change - 8.27% -66.4% -56.87% -132.89% 247.45% 196.97% 18.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,48,723 83,48,806 86,63,423 86,63,423 71,10,492 71,10,492 71,10,492 71,10,492
Announcement Date 11/03/21 21/03/22 21/03/23 26/03/24 26/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 48.5x 16.3x
PBR 0.45x 0.44x
EV / Sales 0.5x 0.47x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
5.330CNY
Average target price
7.520CNY
Spread / Average Target
+41.09%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 000877 Stock
  4. Financials Tianshan Material Co., Ltd.