Projected Income Statement: The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 676 1,197 1,193 1,092 1,549 2,221 2,256 2,174
Change - 77.07% -0.33% -8.47% 41.85% 43.34% 1.58% -3.63%
Announcement Date 01/03/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 25/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5.321 21.98 21.38 41.05 39.53 35.85 36.5 38
Change - 313.06% -2.74% 92.03% -3.71% -9.3% 1.81% 4.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 34.81 -24.44 23.27 61.1 -220.9 87.7 142.5 247.9
Change - -170.22% 195.2% 162.6% -461.53% 139.7% 62.49% 73.96%
Announcement Date 01/03/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 25/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.9% 20.04% 20.53% 22.5% 22.69% 23.35% 24.69% 25.84%
EBIT Margin (%) -5.57% -3.17% -3.49% 4.37% 4.91% -2.82% 7.08% 10.3%
EBT Margin (%) -10.24% -7.75% -13.35% -2.83% -3.48% -7.9% 3.38% 4.39%
Net margin (%) -5.4% -4.26% -7.4% -1.77% -2.25% -2.12% -0.2% 1.9%
FCF margin (%) 6.14% -2.49% 1.91% 4.4% -14.68% 4.36% 6.45% 10.17%
FCF / Net Income (%) -113.58% 58.51% -25.81% -249.21% 653.3% -206.05% -3,194.92% 534.3%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.66% 3.75% 3.76% 5.03% 5.38% 68.84% 67.53% -
ROE 16.52% 19.56% 22.44% 30.94% 33.62% 53.59% 55.58% 61.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.99x 6.09x 4.77x 3.49x 4.54x 4.73x 4.13x 3.45x
Debt / Free cash flow 19.43x -48.97x 51.27x 17.87x -7.01x 25.32x 15.83x 8.77x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.94% 2.24% 1.75% 2.96% 2.63% 1.78% 1.65% 1.56%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4.71% 11.19% 8.54% 13.14% 11.58% 7.64% 6.69% 6.04%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 15.29% -89.93% 91.87% 67.18% -17.89% 40.88% 25.61% 15.33%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8433 - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.38 5.291 4.808 4.945 5.066 9.256 9.155 8.368
Change - -49.04% -9.12% 2.84% 2.45% 82.72% -1.09% -8.6%
EPS 1 -0.64 -0.74 -1.5 -0.39 -0.5 -0.4274 0.0984 1.188
Change - -15.62% -102.7% 74% -28.21% 14.52% 123.03% 1,106.32%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 56,932 61,429 64,318 67,569 71,590 97,490 97,490 97,490
Announcement Date 01/03/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 25/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -43.7x 190x
PBR 2.02x 2.04x
EV / Sales 2.01x 1.85x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
18.69USD
Average target price
29.00USD
Spread / Average Target
+55.16%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  4. Financials The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
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