Company Valuation: Thai Oil

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 1,00,981 1,25,653 1,20,069 63,106 80,418 1,49,667 - -
Change - 24.43% -4.44% -47.44% 27.43% 86.11% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 2,69,433 2,57,808 2,69,900 1,97,723 1,45,510 2,28,295 2,36,735 2,30,116
Change - -4.31% 4.69% -26.74% -26.41% 56.89% 3.7% -2.8%
P/E 8.02x 3.6x 6.18x 6.33x 5.51x 4.1x 9.47x 8.4x
PBR 0.84x 0.83x 0.73x 0.39x 0.47x 0.72x 0.69x 0.64x
PEG - 0x -0.1x -0.1x 0.1x 0x -0.2x 0.7x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.29x 0.24x 0.26x 0.14x 0.2x 0.31x 0.35x 0.31x
EV / Revenue 0.78x 0.49x 0.58x 0.42x 0.37x 0.47x 0.55x 0.48x
EV / EBITDA 8.89x 4.96x 7.22x 9.42x 8.23x 4.08x 6.9x 5.81x
EV / EBIT 11.8x 5.82x 9.13x 15.3x 15.1x 4.64x 10.2x 8.53x
EV / FCF -10.9x 22.8x 19.9x 6.5x 3.79x 35.1x 60.9x 10.4x
FCF Yield -9.15% 4.39% 5.03% 15.4% 26.4% 2.85% 1.64% 9.59%
Dividend per Share 2 2.6 4 3.4 1.9 1.8 4.831 2.859 3.81
Rate of return 5.25% 7.11% 6.33% 6.73% 5% 7.21% 4.27% 5.69%
EPS 2 6.17 15.63 8.7 4.46 6.53 16.35 7.073 7.977
Distribution rate 42.1% 25.6% 39.1% 42.6% 27.6% 29.5% 40.4% 47.8%
Net sales 1 3,45,496 5,29,589 4,69,244 4,66,777 3,95,682 4,89,794 4,27,543 4,77,079
EBITDA 1 30,309 52,014 37,359 20,999 17,686 55,947 34,326 39,611
EBIT 1 22,885 44,270 29,560 12,893 9,621 49,160 23,256 26,971
Net income 1 12,578 32,668 19,443 9,959 11,852 36,379 16,361 18,435
Net Debt 1 1,68,451 1,32,155 1,49,832 1,34,617 65,092 78,628 87,068 80,449
Reference price 2 49.50 56.25 53.75 28.25 36.00 67.00 67.00 67.00
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 20,40,028 22,33,836 22,33,836 22,33,836 22,33,836 22,33,836 - -
Announcement Date 15/02/22 10/02/23 14/02/24 14/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million2THB
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
14.49x1.73x7.38x2.5% 68TCr
19.6x1.61x9.44x0.47% 18TCr
7.54x0.6x2.74x4.47% 12TCr
9.09x0.77x5.6x1.24% 11TCr
7.59x0.81x5.21x1.03% 11TCr
9.68x0.7x6.89x1.96% 10TCr
11.38x0.39x6.02x6.21% 9.43TCr
9.6x1.88x4.81x2.54% 8.03TCr
11.99x1.44x7.91x1.9% 6.29TCr
Average 11.22x 1.10x 6.22x 2.48% 17.15TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 12.79x 1.34x 6.75x 2.39%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA



Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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