Company Valuation: Ternium S.A.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 8,543 5,999 8,337 5,709 7,497 8,775 - -
Change - -29.78% 38.97% -31.53% 31.33% 17.05% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 7,455 5,999 6,903 4,087 6,971 9,031 8,266 7,195
Change - -19.53% 15.07% -40.79% 70.55% 29.54% -8.46% -12.96%
P/E 2.23x 3.4x 12.3x -108x 17.6x 8.52x 7.14x 6.32x
PBR 0.81x - 0.67x 0.48x 0.63x 0.7x 0.65x 0.61x
PEG - -0.1x -0.2x 1x -0x 0x 0.4x 0.5x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.53x 0.37x 0.47x 0.32x 0.48x 0.51x 0.49x 0.48x
EV / Revenue 0.46x 0.37x 0.39x 0.23x 0.45x 0.52x 0.46x 0.39x
EV / EBITDA 1.27x 1.76x 2.52x 2.01x 4.52x 3.78x 2.86x 2.35x
EV / EBIT 1.41x 2.22x 3.14x 3.24x 9.88x 5.55x 4.01x 3.34x
EV / FCF 3.46x - 6.63x 99.7x -37.3x -19.3x 8.05x 8.11x
FCF Yield 28.9% - 15.1% 1% -2.68% -5.19% 12.4% 12.3%
Dividend per Share 2 2.6 - 3.3 2.7 2.7 2.515 2.983 3.007
Rate of return 5.97% - 7.77% 9.28% 7.07% 5.63% 6.67% 6.73%
EPS 2 19.49 9 3.44 -0.27 2.17 5.247 6.264 7.075
Distribution rate 13.3% - 95.9% -1,000% 124% 47.9% 47.6% 42.5%
Net sales 1 16,091 16,414 17,610 17,649 15,609 17,296 18,076 18,464
EBITDA 1 5,863 3,415 2,740 2,038 1,541 2,387 2,891 3,065
EBIT 1 5,271 2,700 2,198 1,263 705.4 1,627 2,059 2,156
Net income 1 3,825 1,768 676 -54 425.2 1,069 1,243 1,413
Net Debt 1 -1,088 - -1,434 -1,621 -525.7 255.6 -508.6 -1,580
Reference price 2 43.52 30.56 42.47 29.08 38.19 44.70 44.70 44.70
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,96,308 1,96,308 1,96,308 1,96,308 1,96,308 1,96,308 - -
Announcement Date 15/02/22 14/02/23 20/02/24 18/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (N) EV / Sales (N) EV / EBITDA (N) Dividend Yield (N) Capi.($)
8.52x0.52x3.78x5.63% 877.5Cr
20.19x1.78x9.69x0.64% 3.14TCr
11.65x0.44x4.31x4.68% 1.82TCr
58.97x5.47x30.01x0.45% 1.09TCr
28.94x2.27x12.86x0.23% 1.09TCr
9.92x - - - 997.04Cr
16.23x0.88x7.39x5.68% 969.61Cr
79.36x1.36x13.23x1.13% 877.18Cr
19.43x1.47x11.59x0.41% 630.91Cr
Average 28.13x 1.77x 11.61x 2.36% 1.28TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 25.70x 1.74x 10.90x 2.19%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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