Projected Income Statement: Tata Motors Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tata Motors Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 6,79,831 9,90,079 8,86,449 5,26,934 2,16,650 3,62,917 2,97,238 2,15,473
Change - 45.64% -10.47% -40.56% -58.88% 67.51% -18.1% -27.51%
Announcement Date 18/05/21 12/05/22 12/05/23 10/05/24 13/05/25 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tata Motors Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,02,054 1,51,684 1,80,957 3,14,136 3,80,420 3,98,472 3,99,377 4,03,601
Change - -24.93% 19.3% 73.6% 21.1% 4.75% 0.23% 1.06%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 87,951 -8,856 1,72,923 3,65,017 2,50,600 -3,47,886 1,11,991 1,52,735
Change - -110.07% 2,052.63% 111.09% -31.35% -238.82% 132.19% 36.38%
Announcement Date 18/05/21 12/05/22 12/05/23 10/05/24 13/05/25 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tata Motors Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.23% 8.91% 9.66% 13.6% 12.56% 6.44% 10.4% 11.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.81% -0.01% 2.01% 7.37% 7.27% 0.97% 4.59% 5.3%
EBT Margin (%) -4.19% -2.52% 0.88% 6.38% 7.68% 2.01% 5.63% 6.58%
Net margin (%) -5.38% -4.11% 0.7% 7.17% 6.33% 24.07% 3.56% 4.24%
FCF margin (%) 3.52% -0.32% 5% 8.34% 5.7% -10.05% 2.76% 3.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) -65.38% 7.74% 716.25% 116.25% 90.05% -41.73% 77.5% 81.21%

Profitability

        
ROA -4.04% -3.4% 0.72% 8.89% 7.43% 0.79% 5.12% 6.32%
ROE -22.74% -22.93% 5.37% 48.22% 23.96% 2.83% 11.31% 12.92%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.22x 3.99x 2.65x 0.88x 0.39x 1.63x 0.71x 0.42x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.73x -111.8x 5.13x 1.44x 0.86x -1.04x 2.65x 1.41x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.09% 5.45% 5.23% 7.17% 8.65% 11.51% 9.85% 9.11%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 66.12% 61.17% 54.17% 52.74% 68.9% 178.79% 94.73% 79.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 229.73% -1,712.8% 104.65% 86.06% 151.8% -114.54% 356.62% 264.25%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 75.74 43.02 92.36 165.9 171.5 80.5 101.5 123.8
Change - -43.21% 114.71% 79.61% 3.37% -53.05% 26.11% 21.91%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 2 3 6 3.274 5.121 5.682
Change - - - 50% 100% -45.44% 56.43% 10.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 144.3 134.2 118.4 221.7 333.6 315.3 355.6 393.2
Change - -6.99% -11.77% 87.27% 50.44% -5.46% 12.76% 10.58%
EPS 1 -36.99 -29.88 6.29 81.88 78.75 -0.7 37.25 50.08
Change - 19.22% 121.05% 1,201.75% -3.82% -100.89% 5,421.3% 34.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 38,28,811 38,29,165 38,29,847 38,32,242 36,81,349 36,82,378 36,82,378 36,82,378
Announcement Date 18/05/21 12/05/22 12/05/23 10/05/24 13/05/25 - - -
1INR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio -507x 9.53x
PBR 1.13x 1x
EV / Sales 0.48x 0.4x
Yield 0.92% 1.44%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
351.25INR
Average target price
382.40INR
Spread / Average Target
+8.87%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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