Company Valuation: Swatch Group

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 14,175 13,103 11,658 8,455 8,803 9,078 - -
Change - -7.56% -11.03% -27.47% 4.11% 3.12% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 11,619 10,565 9,672 7,081 7,610 7,951 7,935 7,918
Change - -9.07% -8.45% -26.78% 7.46% 4.48% -0.2% -0.22%
P/E 18.9x 16.9x 13.6x 44.1x 3,365x 38.7x 24.9x 19.2x
PBR 1.24x 1.13x 0.97x 0.7x 0.75x 0.8x 0.79x 0.77x
PEG - 3.16x 1.78x -0.6x -34.1x 0x 0.4x 0.7x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.94x 1.75x 1.48x 1.26x 1.4x 1.38x 1.31x 1.25x
EV / Revenue 1.59x 1.41x 1.23x 1.05x 1.21x 1.21x 1.14x 1.09x
EV / EBITDA 7.96x 6.75x 6.12x 9.84x 13.6x 10.5x 8.15x 6.93x
EV / EBIT 11.4x 9.12x 8.12x 23.3x 56.4x 23.5x 14.5x 11.3x
EV / FCF 11.6x 31.4x -56.9x -32.8x 136x 29.9x 10.6x 11.3x
FCF Yield 8.63% 3.19% -1.76% -3.05% 0.74% 3.35% 9.39% 8.82%
Dividend per Share 2 5.5 6 6.5 4.5 4.5 4.632 5.143 5.591
Rate of return 1.97% 2.28% 2.84% 2.73% 2.67% 2.61% 2.9% 3.15%
EPS 2 14.77 15.56 16.75 3.74 0.05 4.588 7.131 9.225
Distribution rate 37.2% 38.6% 38.8% 120% 9,000% 101% 72.1% 60.6%
Net sales 1 7,313 7,499 7,888 6,735 6,280 6,577 6,949 7,259
EBITDA 1 1,459 1,565 1,581 720 558 755.5 973.6 1,143
EBIT 1 1,021 1,158 1,191 304 135 338.5 547.3 702.7
Net income 1 765 807 869 193 3 230.4 363.9 463.7
Net Debt 1 -2,556 -2,538 -1,986 -1,374 -1,193 -1,127 -1,143 -1,160
Reference price 2 279.00 263.00 228.60 165.00 168.25 177.45 177.45 177.45
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 51,771 51,808 51,836 51,872 51,767 51,996 - -
Announcement Date 25/01/22 24/01/23 23/01/24 30/01/25 30/01/26 - - -
1CHF in Million2CHF
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (N) EV / Sales (N) EV / EBITDA (N) Dividend Yield (N) Capi.($)
38.67x1.21x10.52x2.61% 1.09TCr
17.15x2.6x8.61x3.44% 21TCr
29.26x7.25x16.02x1.53% 15TCr
24.53x3.91x13.75x2.34% 12TCr
61.15x4.4x40.31x0.42% 4.04TCr
11.39x1.71x5.91x4.09% 2.59TCr
20.08x2.63x13.36x1.04% 2.21TCr
10.64x1.2x7.82x6.85% 1.41TCr
18.48x3.52x8.74x3.16% 1.33TCr
Average 25.71x 3.16x 13.89x 2.83% 6.75TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 24.67x 4.06x 13.65x 2.55%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Swatch Group

Historical PBR trend

Valuation ratios - PBR - Swatch Group

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Valuation ratios - VE_REV - Swatch Group

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Valuation ratios - VE_EBITDA - Swatch Group


Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Swatch Group
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