Projected Income Statement: Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,04,362 1,50,241 1,91,996 2,48,198 4,06,675 4,30,624 13,67,792 15,15,969
Change - -26.48% 27.79% 29.27% 63.85% 5.89% 217.63% 10.83%
Announcement Date 15/02/21 14/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 13/02/25 13/02/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 27,877 24,278 35,939 43,105 80,884 65,905 70,000 70,000
Change - -12.91% 48.03% 19.94% 87.64% -18.52% 7.69% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,205 51,322 2,891 12,803 -53,806 -57,608 -3,49,238 20,886
Change - 2,227.53% -94.37% 342.86% -520.26% -7.07% -506.23% 105.98%
Announcement Date 15/02/21 14/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 13/02/25 13/02/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.15% 9.54% 10.55% 9.62% 10.83% 8.81% 8.41% 10.31%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.65% 8.2% 9.48% 8.47% 9.48% 7.44% 6.52% 7.76%
EBT Margin (%) 5.98% 9.66% 11.28% 9.31% 9.35% 7.95% 6.42% 7.19%
Net margin (%) 3.62% 6.29% 6.51% 5.91% 5.67% 4.7% 3.65% 4.17%
FCF margin (%) 0.26% 3.7% 0.17% 0.74% -2.62% -2.52% -12.73% 0.7%
FCF / Net Income (%) 7.25% 58.87% 2.66% 12.49% -46.17% -58.71% -349.01% 16.75%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.9% 7.25% 13.68% 9.52% 9.72% 7.24% 6.07% 6.63%
ROE 8.81% 20.2% 19.4% 14.8% 13.9% 11.1% 9.47% 10.9%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.4x 1.14x 1.09x 1.49x 1.83x 2.17x 5.92x 4.92x
Debt / Free cash flow 92.68x 2.93x 66.41x 19.39x -7.56x -7.48x -3.92x 72.58x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.32% 1.75% 2.15% 2.49% 3.94% 2.91% 2.55% 2.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 46.45% 18.36% 20.4% 25.86% 36.35% 33.01% 30.32% 22.73%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 1,264.26% 47.31% 1,243.13% 336.68% -150.33% -112.83% -20.04% 335.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 86.05 181.4 211.1 201.3 235.3 224.6 - -
Change - 110.83% 16.38% -4.68% 16.9% -4.52% - -
Dividend per Share 1 11.67 26.67 41.67 41.67 48.33 53 51.4 62.5
Change - 128.57% 56.25% 0% 16% 9.66% 1.78% 21.6%
Book Value Per Share 1 675 826.6 1,047 1,229 1,499 1,642 1,808 1,952
Change - 22.45% 26.64% 17.4% 21.99% 9.54% 15.71% 7.99%
EPS 1 55.85 152.6 181.3 168.5 189.8 174.1 163.6 203.8
Change - 173.18% 18.81% -7.04% 12.63% -8.26% 2.17% 24.6%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,44,353 5,99,617 5,99,509 6,13,939 6,13,952 6,11,434 6,11,434 6,11,434
Announcement Date 15/02/21 14/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 13/02/25 13/02/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 9.21x 8.94x
PBR 0.98x 0.81x
EV / Sales 0.43x 0.82x
Yield 3.3% 3.51%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
1,462.50JPY
Average target price
2,005.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+37.09%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 1911 Stock
  4. Financials Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd.
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