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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 39.33 CAD | +0.67% |
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-7.35% | +38.83% |
| 23/03 | CIBC Changes Estimates for Some North American Energy Equities | MT |
| 13/03 | Strathcona Resources Price Target Raised to $35 at TD | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Strathcona Resources Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 3,691 | 4,255 | 4,168 | 3,049 | 3,443 | 3,894 |
| Change | - | 15.29% | -2.04% | -26.84% | 12.9% | 13.12% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,763 | 2,102 | 1,452 | 1,791 | 1,618 | 1,830 |
| Change | - | 19.27% | -30.94% | 23.35% | -9.65% | 13.09% |
| EBIT | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Interest Paid 1 | -206.2 | -170.2 | -131 | -107 | -95 | -126 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | 970.5 | 1,223 | 457 | 621 | 930 |
| Change | - | - | 26.02% | -62.63% | 35.89% | 49.76% |
| Net income 1 | - | 603.7 | 911 | 724.5 | 716 | 707 |
| Change | - | - | 50.9% | -20.47% | -1.17% | -1.26% |
| Announcement Date | 26/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 12/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Strathcona Resources Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 3,071 | 2,809 | 2,169 | 2,438 | 2,321 | 2,147 |
| Change | - | -8.53% | -22.78% | 12.4% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| Announcement Date | 26/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 12/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Strathcona Resources Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,027 | 1,337 | 1,307 | 1,008 | 1,184 | 1,225 |
| Change | - | 30.17% | -2.21% | -22.85% | 17.42% | 3.47% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 531.6 | 656.2 | 131 | 609.4 | 568.9 | 734.2 |
| Change | - | 23.44% | -80.04% | 365.17% | -6.64% | 29.05% |
| Announcement Date | 26/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 12/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Strathcona Resources Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 47.76% | 49.41% | 34.84% | 58.73% | 47.01% | 46.99% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBT Margin (%) | - | 22.81% | 29.34% | 14.99% | 18.04% | 23.88% |
| Net margin (%) | - | 14.19% | 21.86% | 23.76% | 20.8% | 18.15% |
| FCF margin (%) | 14.4% | 15.42% | 3.14% | 19.98% | 16.53% | 18.85% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | - | 108.7% | 14.38% | 84.11% | 79.46% | 103.85% |
Profitability | ||||||
| ROA | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ROE | 12.32% | 10.83% | 17.92% | 9.9% | 10.6% | - |
Financial Health | ||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.74x | 1.34x | 1.49x | 1.36x | 1.43x | 1.17x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 5.78x | 4.28x | 16.56x | 4x | 4.08x | 2.92x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 27.82% | 31.41% | 31.36% | 33.07% | 34.39% | 31.45% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 58.25% | 63.57% | 90.01% | 56.3% | 73.16% | 66.94% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 193.15% | 203.69% | 997.71% | 165.46% | 208.09% | 166.85% |
Items per share | ||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 7.293 | 9.303 | 6.72 | 7.101 | 7.322 | 7.875 |
| Change | - | 27.57% | -27.77% | 5.67% | 3.12% | 7.55% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 0.5 | 1.16 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Change | - | - | 132% | 3.45% | 0% | 0% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS 1 | - | 2.818 | 4.25 | 3.38 | 3.34 | 3.3 |
| Change | - | - | 50.79% | -20.47% | -1.18% | -1.2% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,14,236 | 2,14,236 | 2,14,236 | 2,14,236 | 2,14,236 | 2,14,236 |
| Announcement Date | 26/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 12/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 11.6x | 11.8x |
| PBR | - | - |
| EV / Sales | 3.56x | 3.12x |
| Yield | 3.05% | 3.05% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Strathcona Resources Ltd.
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