Projected Income Statement: St Barbara Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: St Barbara Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -24.1 73.1 -234 -138 -62.1 -74.1 -182 -444
Change - 403.32% -420.11% 41.03% 55% -19.29% -145.61% -143.96%
Announcement Date 25/08/21 30/08/22 23/08/23 29/07/24 20/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: St Barbara Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 125.8 138.8 85.7 32 72.61 101 147.3 45.65
Change - 10.3% -38.25% -62.66% 126.92% 39.15% 45.77% -69.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 101.3 -82.36 -234 -71.75 -153.7 309 305 567
Change - -181.33% -184.12% 69.34% -114.2% 301.05% -1.29% 85.9%
Announcement Date 25/08/21 30/08/22 23/08/23 29/07/24 20/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: St Barbara Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 40.54% 28.99% 16.31% -12.74% -13.76% 24.59% 19.61% 20.39%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.14% 5.5% 0.99% -25.3% -22.18% 10.89% 20.23% 12.23%
EBT Margin (%) -34.83% -28.9% -92.54% - - - - -
Net margin (%) -23.92% -23.64% -61.54% -24.11% -40.68% 8.97% 53.56% 64.15%
FCF margin (%) 13.68% -12.1% -33.55% -32.09% -66.66% 102.03% 48.53% 77.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) -57.21% 51.21% 54.52% 133.08% 163.88% 1,137.49% 90.6% 120.68%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.23% 1.49% -1.01% -5.12% -16.33% 3.86% 41.47% 36.61%
ROE 6.55% 2% -1.7% -10.25% -25.93% 4.63% 37.97% 29.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.37x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.89x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.01% 20.4% 12.29% 14.31% 31.5% 33.36% 23.44% 6.23%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 41.95% 70.37% 75.33% -112.37% -228.83% 135.66% 119.49% 30.58%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 124.27% -168.54% -36.63% -44.6% -47.25% 32.7% 48.29% 8.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3219 0.1188 0.0629 -0.0659 -0.0838 0.0352 0.5389 0.7234
Change - -63.08% -47.07% -204.71% -27.24% 142.02% 1,430.45% 34.25%
Dividend per Share 1 0.06 - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.571 1.503 0.4817 0.427 0.3865 0.4378 0.6299 0.9371
Change - -4.32% -67.95% -11.35% -9.49% 13.28% 43.88% 48.77%
EPS 1 -0.2503 -0.2196 -0.5258 -0.0659 -0.0969 0.0298 0.4121 0.5752
Change - 12.27% -139.44% 87.47% -47.04% 130.74% 1,283.42% 39.56%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,08,024 8,15,735 8,16,842 8,17,970 10,82,846 12,09,796 12,09,796 12,09,796
Announcement Date 25/08/21 30/08/22 23/08/23 29/07/24 20/08/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 23.7x 1.71x
PBR 1.61x 1.12x
EV / Sales 2.57x 1.07x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
0.7050AUD
Average target price
1.400AUD
Spread / Average Target
+98.58%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SBM Stock
  4. Financials St Barbara Limited