Projected Income Statement: St Barbara Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: St Barbara Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -79.8 -24.1 73.1 -234 -138 -138 -51 60.1
Change - 69.8% 403.32% -420.11% 41.03% 0.24% 63.04% 217.84%
Announcement Date 23/08/20 25/08/21 30/08/22 23/08/23 29/07/24 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: St Barbara Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 134.4 125.8 138.8 85.7 32 64.9 106.2 149.3
Change - -6.34% 10.3% -38.25% -62.66% 102.8% 63.71% 40.55%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 145.2 101.3 -82.36 -234 -71.75 -144 -162 -121
Change - -30.25% -181.33% -184.12% 69.34% -100.69% -12.5% 25.31%
Announcement Date 23/08/20 25/08/21 30/08/22 23/08/23 29/07/24 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: St Barbara Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 40.94% 40.54% 28.99% 16.31% -12.74% 2.43% 21.24% 30.16%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.96% 15.14% 5.5% 0.99% -25.3% -2.55% 17.95% 24.42%
EBT Margin (%) 19.63% -34.83% -28.9% -92.54% - -7.69% 9.76% 20.4%
Net margin (%) 15.49% -23.92% -23.64% -61.54% -24.11% -4.28% 13.57% 17.86%
FCF margin (%) 17.54% 13.68% -12.1% -33.55% -32.09% -58.27% -50.98% -33.35%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.22% -57.21% 51.21% 54.52% 133.08% 1,360.42% -375.7% -186.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.05% 4.23% 1.49% -1.01% -5.12% 2.55% 7.31% 7.87%
ROE 8.32% 6.55% 2% -1.7% -10.25% -2.45% 6.86% 9.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.37x - - - - 0.55x
Debt / Free cash flow - - -0.89x - - - - -0.5x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.23% 17.01% 20.4% 12.29% 14.31% 26.26% 33.44% 41.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.65% 41.95% 70.37% 75.33% -112.37% 1,081.58% 157.39% 136.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 92.54% 124.27% -168.54% -36.63% -44.6% -45.07% -65.58% -123.4%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3977 0.3219 0.1188 0.0629 -0.0659 0.2008 0.1324 0.0988
Change - -19.07% -63.08% -47.07% -204.71% 404.86% -34.05% -25.42%
Dividend per Share 1 0.08 0.06 - - - - - -
Change - -25% - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.919 1.571 1.503 0.4817 0.427 0.5124 0.5664 0.5684
Change - -18.16% -4.32% -67.95% -11.35% 19.99% 10.55% 0.35%
EPS 1 0.1824 -0.2503 -0.2196 -0.5258 -0.0659 0.0231 0.0543 0.0775
Change - -237.23% 12.27% -139.44% 87.47% 134.99% 135.56% 42.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,03,095 7,08,024 8,15,735 8,16,842 8,17,970 10,82,846 10,82,846 10,82,846
Announcement Date 23/08/20 25/08/21 30/08/22 23/08/23 29/07/24 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12.4x 5.25x
PBR 0.56x 0.5x
EV / Sales 0.69x 0.81x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
0.2850AUD
Average target price
0.4500AUD
Spread / Average Target
+57.89%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SBM Stock
  4. Financials St Barbara Limited