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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 504.50 USD | -0.70% |
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-6.46% | -13.12% |
| 04:37pm | Analyst recommendations: Albemarle, Spotify, Alcoa, Freeport-Mcmoran, Lumentum… |  |
| 16/01 | Communications Services Down on Risk Appetite -- Communications Services Roundup | DJ |
Company Valuation: Spotify Technology S.A.
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 48,768 | 39,419 | 14,267 | 33,174 | 87,323 | 89,632 | 89,632 | - |
| Change | - | -19.17% | -63.81% | 132.52% | 163.23% | 2.64% | 0% | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 47,598 | 37,700 | 12,600 | 30,656 | 81,876 | 83,518 | 81,301 | 78,306 |
| Change | - | -20.8% | -66.58% | 143.3% | 167.08% | 2.01% | -2.65% | -3.68% |
| P/E ratio | -83x | -1,143x | -33.1x | -62.3x | 78.6x | 59.4x | 36.3x | 27.9x |
| PBR | 17.2x | 18.7x | 5.94x | 13.1x | 15.7x | 12.1x | 9.22x | 7.3x |
| PEG | - | 12.1x | -0x | -2.8x | -0x | 1.8x | 0.6x | 0.9x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 6.19x | 4.08x | 1.22x | 2.5x | 5.57x | 5.22x | 4.56x | 4x |
| EV / Revenue | 6.04x | 3.9x | 1.07x | 2.31x | 5.22x | 4.86x | 4.14x | 3.49x |
| EV / EBITDA | -262x | 171x | -25.8x | -106x | 55.1x | 37.3x | 26.7x | 19.8x |
| EV / EBIT | -162x | 401x | -19.1x | -68.7x | 60x | 39.2x | 27.6x | 20.2x |
| EV / FCF | 260x | 136x | 600x | 45.2x | 35.8x | 28.8x | 22.7x | 17.9x |
| FCF Yield | 0.38% | 0.73% | 0.17% | 2.21% | 2.79% | 3.48% | 4.41% | 5.58% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Rate of return | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS 2 | -3.1 | -0.18 | -2.23 | -2.73 | 5.5 | 7.322 | 11.97 | 15.58 |
| Distribution rate | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net sales 1 | 7,880 | 9,668 | 11,727 | 13,247 | 15,673 | 17,179 | 19,658 | 22,434 |
| EBITDA 1 | -182 | 221 | -488 | -288 | 1,486 | 2,239 | 3,044 | 3,963 |
| EBIT 1 | -293 | 94 | -659 | -446 | 1,365 | 2,128 | 2,949 | 3,885 |
| Net income 1 | -581 | -34 | -430 | -532 | 1,138 | 1,566 | 2,521 | 3,275 |
| Net Debt 1 | -1,170 | -1,719 | -1,667 | -2,518 | -5,447 | -6,114 | -8,331 | -11,326 |
| Reference price 2 | 257.23 | 205.78 | 73.87 | 170.00 | 432.12 | 434.93 | 434.93 | 434.93 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,89,586 | 1,91,554 | 1,93,130 | 1,95,139 | 2,02,079 | 2,06,084 | 2,06,084 | - |
| Announcement Date | 03/02/21 | 02/02/22 | 31/01/23 | 06/02/24 | 04/02/25 | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
P/E ratio, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 59.4x | 4.86x | 37.3x | -.--% | 10TCr | |
| 22.96x | 6.43x | 14.72x | 0.88% | 71TCr | |
| 34.47x | 9.05x | 29.22x | -.--% | 40TCr | |
| 15.74x | 3.42x | 20.43x | -.--% | 18TCr | |
| 13.92x | 15.92x | 154.66x | 0.29% | 14TCr | |
| 91.27x | 6.3x | 31.28x | -.--% | 8.85TCr | |
| 31.68x | 5.63x | 16.03x | -.--% | 7.92TCr | |
| 11.08x | 5.3x | 58.46x | 0.36% | 5.12TCr | |
| 16.8x | 1.93x | 9.27x | 0.3% | 4.37TCr | |
| 8.06x | 29.82x | 6.48x | -.--% | 4TCr | |
| Average | 30.54x | 8.87x | 37.78x | 0.18% | 18.34TCr | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 29.05x | 7.66x | 31.86x | 0.38% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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- Valuation Spotify Technology S.A.
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