Projected Income Statement: Shiseido Company, Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shiseido Company, Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -25,411 1,78,152 1,76,296 2,64,681 2,31,320 2,04,236 1,67,494 1,29,060
Change - 801.08% -1.04% 50.13% -12.6% -11.71% -17.99% -22.95%
Announcement Date 09/02/22 10/02/23 09/02/24 10/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shiseido Company, Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 96,693 66,204 55,675 50,708 44,090 43,935 43,946 43,266
Change - -31.53% -15.9% -8.92% -13.05% -0.35% 0.03% -1.55%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 26,194 5,427 53,490 -2,305 65,800 75,136 73,409 71,345
Change - -79.28% 885.63% -104.31% 2,954.66% 14.19% -2.3% -2.81%
Announcement Date 09/02/22 10/02/23 09/02/24 10/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shiseido Company, Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.76% 9.59% 9.44% 8.4% 4.43% 12.95% 13.68% 14.29%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.02% 4.36% 2.89% 0.76% -2.97% 6.03% 7.25% 7.83%
EBT Margin (%) 7.08% 4.72% 3.19% -0.13% -2.86% 6.02% 7.16% 7.86%
Net margin (%) 4.1% 3.2% 2.24% -1.09% -4.19% 4.13% 5.08% 5.51%
FCF margin (%) 2.53% 0.51% 5.5% -0.23% 6.78% 7.5% 7.12% 6.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 61.72% 15.87% 245.94% 21.32% -161.75% 181.5% 140.22% 121.76%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.76% 4.06% 2.42% -0.84% -2.13% 3.43% 4.07% 4.54%
ROE 8.2% 6% 3.6% -1.73% -6.6% 6.84% 8.04% 8.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.74x 1.92x 3.18x 5.39x 1.58x 1.19x 0.85x
Debt / Free cash flow - 32.83x 3.3x -114.83x 3.52x 2.72x 2.28x 1.81x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.34% 6.2% 5.72% 5.12% 4.55% 4.39% 4.26% 4.07%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 86.77% 64.67% 60.64% 60.92% 102.66% 33.89% 31.15% 28.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 369.14% 1,219.9% 104.08% -2,199.91% 67.01% 58.47% 59.86% 60.64%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 263.9 275.1 243.3 121.1 77.74 314.3 325.9 341.5
Change - 4.25% -11.55% -50.22% -35.83% 304.25% 3.69% 4.8%
Dividend per Share 1 50 100 60 40 40 60 65.21 71.08
Change - 100% -40% -33.33% 0% 50% 8.68% 9%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,364 1,512 1,548 1,583 1,504 1,554 1,622 1,691
Change - 10.85% 2.37% 2.28% -5.04% 3.37% 4.36% 4.26%
EPS 1 106.2 85.6 54.43 -27.06 -101.8 102.8 128 145.5
Change - -19.43% -36.41% -149.72% -276.31% 200.98% 24.53% 13.66%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,99,488 3,99,548 3,99,650 3,99,423 3,99,528 3,99,555 3,99,555 3,99,555
Announcement Date 09/02/22 10/02/23 09/02/24 10/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 29.8x 23.9x
PBR 1.97x 1.89x
EV / Sales 1.43x 1.35x
Yield 1.96% 2.13%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
3,060.00JPY
Average target price
3,221.38JPY
Spread / Average Target
+5.27%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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