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Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 2,895.75 GBX | -0.63% |
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+4.53% | +5.66% |
| 08:46pm | Shell says it is reviewing strategic options to unlock long-term value for Sprng renewables unit | RE |
| 08:23pm | Shell: DCF upgrade by 7.3% |  |
Projected Income Statement: Shell plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,80,543 | 2,61,504 | 3,81,314 | 3,16,620 | 2,84,312 | 2,66,886 | 2,60,299 | 2,83,180 |
| Change | - | 44.84% | 45.82% | -16.97% | -10.2% | -6.13% | -2.47% | 8.79% |
| EBITDA 1 | 26,915 | 55,004 | 84,289 | 68,538 | 65,803 | 56,135 | 53,580 | 55,703 |
| Change | - | 104.36% | 53.24% | -18.69% | -3.99% | -14.69% | -4.55% | 3.96% |
| EBIT 1 | 10,758 | 32,734 | 62,621 | 37,248 | 43,100 | 33,968 | 29,071 | 30,574 |
| Change | - | 204.28% | 91.3% | -40.52% | 15.71% | -21.19% | -14.42% | 5.17% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -4,089 | -3,607 | -3,181 | -4,673 | -4,787 | -4,671 | -4,080 | -4,280 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -26,966 | 29,829 | 64,814 | 32,628 | 29,922 | 29,756 | 24,320 | 27,083 |
| Change | - | 210.62% | 117.29% | -49.66% | -8.29% | -0.55% | -18.27% | 11.36% |
| Net income 1 | -21,680 | 20,101 | 42,309 | 19,360 | 16,093 | 17,838 | 16,536 | 18,262 |
| Change | - | 192.72% | 110.48% | -54.24% | -16.88% | 10.84% | -7.3% | 10.44% |
| Announcement Date | 04/02/21 | 03/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Shell plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 75,386 | 52,555 | 44,837 | 43,541 | 38,809 | 45,687 | 48,325 | 49,736 |
| Change | - | -30.29% | -14.69% | -2.89% | -10.87% | 17.72% | 5.13% | 2.92% |
| Announcement Date | 04/02/21 | 03/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Shell plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 16,585 | 19,000 | 22,600 | 22,993 | 19,601 | 18,947 | 20,187 | 20,477 |
| Change | - | 14.56% | 18.95% | 1.74% | -14.75% | -3.34% | 1.58% | 1.43% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 20,828 | 40,345 | 45,814 | 36,460 | 39,530 | 26,052 | 23,265 | 25,343 |
| Change | - | 93.71% | 13.56% | -20.42% | 8.42% | -34.1% | -0.32% | 8.93% |
| Announcement Date | 04/02/21 | 03/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Shell plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 14.91% | 21.03% | 22.1% | 21.65% | 23.14% | 21.03% | 20.58% | 19.67% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 5.96% | 12.52% | 16.42% | 11.76% | 15.16% | 12.73% | 11.17% | 10.8% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -14.94% | 11.41% | 17% | 10.31% | 10.52% | 11.15% | 9.34% | 9.56% |
| Net margin (%) | -12.01% | 7.69% | 11.1% | 6.11% | 5.66% | 6.68% | 6.35% | 6.45% |
| FCF margin (%) | 11.54% | 15.43% | 12.01% | 11.52% | 13.9% | 9.76% | 8.94% | 8.95% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -96.07% | 200.71% | 108.28% | 188.33% | 245.63% | 146.05% | 140.69% | 138.77% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 1.24% | 4.92% | 9.41% | 6.7% | 5.97% | 4.89% | 4.61% | 4.96% |
| ROE | 2.84% | 11.79% | 23.35% | 15% | 13% | 10.51% | 9.68% | 10.97% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.8x | 0.96x | 0.53x | 0.64x | 0.59x | 0.81x | 0.9x | 0.89x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 3.62x | 1.3x | 0.98x | 1.19x | 0.98x | 1.75x | 2.08x | 1.96x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 9.19% | 7.27% | 5.93% | 7.26% | 6.89% | 7.1% | 7.76% | 7.23% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 61.62% | 34.54% | 26.81% | 33.55% | 29.79% | 33.75% | 37.68% | 36.76% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 79.63% | 47.09% | 49.33% | 63.06% | 49.59% | 72.73% | 86.77% | 80.8% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 4.375 | 5.778 | 9.232 | 7.97 | 8.593 | 7.206 | 7.431 | 8.128 |
| Change | - | 32.06% | 59.79% | -13.67% | 7.82% | -16.15% | 3.92% | 9.37% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.653 | 0.8935 | 0.99 | 1.294 | 1.39 | 1.446 | 1.497 | 1.567 |
| Change | - | 36.83% | 10.8% | 30.66% | 7.46% | 4.03% | 3.94% | 4.63% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 19.92 | 22.38 | 27.2 | 28.6 | 29.16 | 30.5 | 31.08 | 32.8 |
| Change | - | 12.33% | 21.53% | 5.16% | 1.95% | 4.59% | 3.73% | 5.56% |
| EPS 1 | -2.78 | 2.57 | 5.71 | 2.85 | 2.53 | 3 | 3.068 | 3.65 |
| Change | - | 192.45% | 122.18% | -50.09% | -11.23% | 18.58% | 2.4% | 18.96% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 77,72,923 | 76,40,301 | 70,03,503 | 65,24,109 | 61,15,031 | 56,80,182 | 56,80,182 | 56,80,182 |
| Announcement Date | 04/02/21 | 03/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - |
| 2025 | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 12.3x | 13x |
| PBR | 1.21x | 1.28x |
| EV / Sales | 0.96x | 1.05x |
| Yield | 3.92% | 3.77% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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