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Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 3,093.25 GBX | -0.83% |
|
-6.12% | +12.72% |
| 02:10pm | Morgan Stanley 'equal-weight' on Standard Life | AN |
| 01:38pm | Stocks down, oil rises as US-Iran tensions flare | AN |
Projected Income Statement: Shell plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,61,504 | 3,81,314 | 3,16,620 | 2,84,312 | 2,66,886 | 3,06,135 | 2,97,176 | 2,98,489 |
| Change | - | 45.82% | -16.97% | -10.2% | -6.13% | 14.71% | -2.93% | 0.44% |
| EBITDA 1 | 55,004 | 84,289 | 68,538 | 65,803 | 56,135 | 68,288 | 63,870 | 62,302 |
| Change | - | 53.24% | -18.69% | -3.99% | -14.69% | 21.65% | -6.47% | -2.46% |
| EBIT 1 | 32,734 | 62,621 | 37,248 | 43,100 | 33,968 | 37,434 | 38,479 | 37,089 |
| Change | - | 91.3% | -40.52% | 15.71% | -21.19% | 10.2% | 2.79% | -3.61% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -3,607 | -3,181 | -4,673 | -4,787 | -4,671 | -3,762 | -3,520 | -2,799 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 29,829 | 64,814 | 32,628 | 29,922 | 29,756 | 19,891 | 35,237 | 35,870 |
| Change | - | 117.29% | -49.66% | -8.29% | -0.55% | -33.15% | 77.15% | 1.8% |
| Net income 1 | 20,101 | 42,309 | 19,360 | 16,093 | 17,838 | 19,638 | 24,746 | 25,180 |
| Change | - | 110.48% | -54.24% | -16.88% | 10.84% | 10.09% | 26.01% | 1.75% |
| Announcement Date | 03/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Shell plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 52,555 | 44,837 | 43,541 | 38,809 | 45,687 | 43,412 | 39,964 | 36,775 |
| Change | - | -14.69% | -2.89% | -10.87% | 17.72% | -4.98% | -7.94% | -7.98% |
| Announcement Date | 03/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Shell plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 19,000 | 22,600 | 22,993 | 19,601 | 18,947 | 20,148 | 20,244 | 20,826 |
| Change | - | 18.95% | 1.74% | -14.75% | -3.34% | 6.34% | 0.48% | 2.88% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 40,345 | 45,814 | 36,460 | 39,530 | 26,052 | 30,913 | 29,554 | 29,694 |
| Change | - | 13.56% | -20.42% | 8.42% | -34.1% | 18.66% | -4.39% | 0.47% |
| Announcement Date | 03/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Shell plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 21.03% | 22.1% | 21.65% | 23.14% | 21.03% | 22.31% | 21.49% | 20.87% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 12.52% | 16.42% | 11.76% | 15.16% | 12.73% | 12.23% | 12.95% | 12.43% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 11.41% | 17% | 10.31% | 10.52% | 11.15% | 6.5% | 11.86% | 12.02% |
| Net margin (%) | 7.69% | 11.1% | 6.11% | 5.66% | 6.68% | 6.41% | 8.33% | 8.44% |
| FCF margin (%) | 15.43% | 12.01% | 11.52% | 13.9% | 9.76% | 10.1% | 9.95% | 9.95% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 200.71% | 108.28% | 188.33% | 245.63% | 146.05% | 157.41% | 119.43% | 117.93% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 4.92% | 9.41% | 6.7% | 5.97% | 4.89% | 8.16% | 7.06% | 6.12% |
| ROE | 11.79% | 23.35% | 15% | 13% | 10.51% | 15.3% | 13.28% | 13.06% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.96x | 0.53x | 0.64x | 0.59x | 0.81x | 0.64x | 0.63x | 0.59x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.3x | 0.98x | 1.19x | 0.98x | 1.75x | 1.4x | 1.35x | 1.24x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 7.27% | 5.93% | 7.26% | 6.89% | 7.1% | 6.58% | 6.81% | 6.98% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 34.54% | 26.81% | 33.55% | 29.79% | 33.75% | 29.5% | 31.69% | 33.43% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 47.09% | 49.33% | 63.06% | 49.59% | 72.73% | 65.18% | 68.5% | 70.14% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 5.778 | 9.232 | 7.97 | 8.593 | 7.206 | 8.841 | 8.918 | 9.686 |
| Change | - | 59.79% | -13.67% | 7.82% | -16.15% | 22.69% | 0.87% | 8.61% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.8935 | 0.99 | 1.294 | 1.39 | 1.446 | 1.509 | 1.573 | 1.631 |
| Change | - | 10.8% | 30.66% | 7.46% | 4.03% | 4.34% | 4.26% | 3.68% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 22.38 | 27.2 | 28.6 | 29.16 | 30.5 | 30.34 | 34.62 | 38.77 |
| Change | - | 21.53% | 5.16% | 1.95% | 4.59% | -0.49% | 14.09% | 12% |
| EPS 1 | 2.57 | 5.71 | 2.85 | 2.53 | 3 | 4.64 | 4.723 | 4.987 |
| Change | - | 122.18% | -50.09% | -11.23% | 18.58% | 54.67% | 1.78% | 5.6% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 76,40,301 | 70,03,503 | 65,24,109 | 61,15,031 | 57,20,615 | 56,06,372 | 56,06,372 | 56,06,372 |
| Announcement Date | 03/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 30/01/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 9.15x | 8.99x |
| PBR | 1.4x | 1.23x |
| EV / Sales | 0.92x | 0.94x |
| Yield | 3.55% | 3.7% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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