Projected Income Statement: Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,767 11,176 40,920 52,700 47,954 49,734 39,926 48,194
Change - 43.89% 266.14% 28.79% -9.01% 3.71% -19.72% 20.71%
Announcement Date 28/03/22 29/03/23 28/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,404 4,005 9,178 20,099 12,913 23,493 14,468 13,776
Change - 17.66% 129.16% 119% -35.75% 81.93% -38.41% -4.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,582 - -2,329 -6,760 8,580 8,986 10,041 13,799
Change - - - -190.23% 226.93% 4.73% 11.75% 37.43%
Announcement Date 28/03/22 29/03/23 28/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.47% 10.46% 15.99% 12.89% 15.88% 22.03% 22.01% 22.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 0.2% 4.18% 9.07% 6.96% 9% 16.53% 16.67% 17.57%
EBT Margin (%) 0.07% 3.99% 5.88% 6.89% 8.72% 14.78% 15.58% 16.62%
Net margin (%) -0.57% 2.48% 3.04% 3.58% 4.54% 6.5% 6.98% 8.06%
FCF margin (%) -4.66% - -3.93% -8.19% 8.23% 6.7% 7.12% 9.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) 816.55% - -129.12% -229.02% 181.03% 102.93% 102.05% 114.97%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.26% 1.47% 2.07% 2% 3.02% 7.19% 7.24% 7.56%
ROE -1.46% 3.87% 5.46% 10.85% 15.59% 19% 20.09% 19.56%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.06x 2.12x 4.32x 4.96x 2.9x 1.68x 1.29x 1.42x
Debt / Free cash flow -4.91x - -17.57x -7.8x 5.59x 5.53x 3.98x 3.49x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.03% 7.96% 15.48% 24.36% 12.38% 17.5% 10.26% 9.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 134.26% 76.1% 96.85% 189.04% 77.99% 79.48% 46.61% 40.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -215.22% - -394.05% -297.34% 150.51% 261.45% 144.09% 99.84%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4073 0.6643 1.531 2.982 4.662 5.919 5.431 5.901
Change - 63.1% 130.47% 94.77% 56.35% 26.95% -8.24% 8.65%
Dividend per Share 1 0.05 0.07 0.14 0.148 0.18 0.8335 0.8122 0.865
Change - 40% 100% 5.71% 21.62% 363.06% -2.55% 6.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.532 5.128 7.396 5.556 9.74 11.53 12.6 14.44
Change - -21.49% 44.23% -24.87% 75.29% 18.43% 9.26% 14.59%
EPS 1 -0.09 0.2 0.42 0.57 0.94 2.064 2.274 2.562
Change - 322.22% 110% 35.71% 64.91% 119.55% 10.19% 12.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 44,73,430 44,73,430 44,73,430 44,73,430 46,09,930 46,09,930 46,09,930 46,09,930
Announcement Date 28/03/22 29/03/23 28/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 17.4x 15.8x
PBR 3.12x 2.85x
EV / Sales 1.54x 1.46x
Yield 2.32% 2.26%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
35.97CNY
Average target price
48.11CNY
Spread / Average Target
+33.75%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 600547 Stock
  4. Financials Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd.