Projected Income Statement: Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden)

Forecast Balance Sheet: Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 39,210 26,662 23,471 22,255 23,036 21,707 19,779 16,184
Change - -32% -11.97% -5.18% 3.51% -5.77% -8.88% -18.18%
Announcement Date 27/02/22 12/02/23 26/02/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,447 2,520 3,759 4,320 6,908 10,538 10,489 6,772
Change - -43.34% 49.18% 14.92% 59.91% 52.55% -0.46% -35.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,969 13,416 3,770 5,999 4,019 4,159 4,721 11,672
Change - 169.98% -71.9% 59.12% -33% 3.48% 13.51% 147.24%
Announcement Date 27/02/22 12/02/23 26/02/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 44.77% 46.06% 34.82% 38.07% 38.5% 43.08% 41.83% 43.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 27.69% 33.61% 13.04% 19.22% 26.84% 29.81% 29.7% 30.18%
EBT Margin (%) 21.18% 32.32% 8.85% 14.4% 26% 29.77% 33.8% 32.07%
Net margin (%) 19.53% 23.14% 5.39% 8.82% 19.05% 23.13% 24.87% 24.49%
FCF margin (%) 18.56% 33.31% 12.88% 18.43% 10.42% 10.41% 11.02% 26.89%
FCF / Net Income (%) 95.05% 143.96% 239.06% 208.9% 54.7% 44.99% 44.29% 109.83%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 8.67% 1.41% 2.53% 6.26% 7.78% 7.6% 7.72%
ROE 15.86% 23.09% 3.45% 5.84% 12.95% 14.11% 13.52% 12.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.27x 1.44x 2.3x 1.8x 1.55x 1.26x 1.1x 0.86x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.89x 1.99x 6.23x 3.71x 5.73x 5.22x 4.19x 1.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.61% 6.26% 12.84% 13.27% 17.91% 26.37% 24.48% 15.6%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 37.11% 13.58% 36.88% 34.87% 46.51% 61.22% 58.51% 36%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 89.49% 18.78% 99.71% 72.02% 171.87% 253.38% 222.18% 58.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.55 4.317 2.04 2.796 2.847 3.645 4.053 3.593
Change - 69.28% -52.75% 37.11% 1.8% 28.02% 11.19% -11.35%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.0305 0.5
Change - - - - - - - 1,537.2%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.657 24.42 12.58 14.06 16.05 18.15 20.16 22.19
Change - 152.84% -48.47% 11.77% 14.12% 13.1% 11.06% 10.08%
EPS 1 1.417 2.527 0.43 0.78 1.91 2.519 2.734 2.779
Change - 78.35% -82.98% 81.4% 144.87% 31.87% 8.53% 1.66%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 36,91,773 36,91,773 36,91,773 37,96,105 38,80,897 38,81,800 38,81,800 38,81,800
Announcement Date 27/02/22 12/02/23 26/02/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.7x 21x
PBR 3.16x 2.84x
EV / Sales 6.11x 5.65x
Yield - 0.05%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
57.30SAR
Average target price
65.79SAR
Spread / Average Target
+14.82%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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