Projected Income Statement: PRIO S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: PRIO S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -750 -1,974 5,058 14,409 24,357 20,983 16,916 11,226
Change - -163.2% 356.23% 184.88% 69.04% -13.85% -19.38% -33.64%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 01/03/23 08/03/24 13/03/25 11/03/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: PRIO S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 943.7 4,674 4,247 3,603 5,429 6,014 2,567 2,751
Change - 395.34% -9.14% -15.17% 50.68% 10.78% -57.32% 7.17%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,240 252.8 3,493 6,066 2,743 7,549 13,551 12,944
Change - -79.61% 1,281.78% 73.67% -54.79% 175.25% 79.51% -4.48%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 01/03/23 08/03/24 13/03/25 11/03/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: PRIO S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 64.91% 74.97% 77.37% 69.24% 47.61% 70.88% 73.93% 74.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 48.26% 61.54% 60.11% 48.36% 11.61% 41.28% 43.9% 44.49%
EBT Margin (%) 34.1% 57.54% 51.28% 44.3% -1.49% 38.29% 40.89% 47.41%
Net margin (%) 30.32% 53.86% 43.51% 71.73% 14.45% 31.02% 29.79% 34.82%
FCF margin (%) 28.21% 3.97% 29.34% 42.24% 17.6% 28.05% 49.36% 48.98%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.03% 7.38% 67.44% 58.89% 121.81% 90.42% 165.68% 140.66%

Profitability

        
ROA - 21.07% 21.31% 24.51% 3.75% 14.2% 15.33% 18.78%
ROE 27.29% 41.51% 43.58% 51.76% 8.71% 31.32% 24.29% 24.05%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.55x 1.45x 3.28x 1.1x 0.83x 0.57x
Debt / Free cash flow - - 1.45x 2.38x 8.88x 2.78x 1.25x 0.87x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.47% 73.46% 35.67% 25.09% 34.84% 22.35% 9.35% 10.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.07% 97.99% 46.11% 36.23% 73.17% 31.52% 12.65% 13.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 76.1% 1,849.01% 121.58% 59.39% 197.95% 79.67% 18.94% 21.25%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.646 5.784 9.136 11.54 10.05 18.55 20.34 21.59
Change - 118.57% 57.96% 26.3% -12.88% 84.5% 9.64% 6.18%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 3.605 12.09 12.22
Change - - - - - - 235.29% 1.07%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.537 11.73 16.52 31.73 31.83 36.82 39.1 52.54
Change - 55.59% 40.83% 92.13% 0.31% 15.69% 6.2% 34.37%
EPS 1 1.597 4.023 6.114 12.29 2.77 10.43 10.26 11.62
Change - 151.91% 51.98% 101.06% -77.47% 276.41% -1.61% 13.3%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 8,39,253 8,43,994 8,36,331 8,34,326 8,10,348 8,07,479 8,07,479 8,07,479
Announcement Date 15/02/22 01/03/23 08/03/24 13/03/25 11/03/26 - - -
1BRL
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 5.52x 5.61x
PBR 1.56x 1.47x
EV / Sales 2.51x 2.31x
Yield 6.26% 21%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
57.57BRL
Average target price
69.91BRL
Spread / Average Target
+21.44%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise