Projected Income Statement: Pop Mart International Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Pop Mart International Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -5,388 -4,664 -4,300 -5,170 -8,656 -16,476 -27,296 -39,661
Change - 13.44% 7.8% -20.23% -67.43% -90.35% -65.67% -45.3%
Announcement Date 26/03/21 28/03/22 29/03/23 20/03/24 26/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Pop Mart International Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 176 287.5 347.6 392.5 516.7 947.9 1,082 1,258
Change - 63.37% 20.91% 12.9% 31.65% 83.45% 14.1% 16.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 527.4 491.6 543.4 1,598 4,438 13,191 16,994 19,616
Change - -6.78% 10.54% 194.1% 177.67% 197.26% 28.83% 15.43%
Announcement Date 26/03/21 28/03/22 29/03/23 20/03/24 26/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Pop Mart International Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 38.38% 35.29% 25.73% 30.14% 38.48% 47.94% 48.84% 48.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.6% 25.6% 12.63% 19.53% 31.86% 45.07% 46.37% 46.19%
EBT Margin (%) 28.14% 26.08% 13.85% 22.47% 33.49% 45.76% 46.68% 46.58%
Net margin (%) 20.83% 19.02% 10.3% 17.18% 23.97% 33.67% 34.18% 33.98%
FCF margin (%) 20.98% 10.95% 11.77% 25.36% 34.04% 35.21% 34.85% 33.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 100.74% 57.54% 114.24% 147.65% 141.98% 104.58% 101.95% 97.64%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.03% 11.17% 5.63% 11.67% 25.17% 52.8% 43.53% 37.69%
ROE 15.58% 13.2% 6.9% 14.69% 33.87% 72.51% 55.59% 46.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7% 6.4% 7.53% 6.23% 3.96% 2.53% 2.22% 2.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.24% 18.14% 29.26% 20.66% 10.3% 5.28% 4.54% 4.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 33.37% 58.48% 63.97% 24.56% 11.64% 7.19% 6.36% 6.41%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5807 0.565 0.652 1.485 3.719 10.88 13.68 16.44
Change - -2.7% 15.4% 127.75% 150.45% 192.51% 25.76% 20.19%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1494 0.1524 0.087 0.2821 0.8146 3.285 4.283 5.173
Change - 2.01% -42.91% 224.25% 188.76% 303.22% 30.39% 20.79%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.13 4.95 5.092 5.763 7.955 16.72 25.31 34.98
Change - -3.51% 2.86% 13.19% 38.04% 110.17% 51.4% 38.18%
EPS 1 0.3734 0.62 0.35 0.81 2.35 9.485 12.29 14.7
Change - 66.04% -43.55% 131.43% 190.12% 303.63% 29.59% 19.59%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 14,01,938 14,01,938 13,67,590 13,29,259 13,26,330 13,26,262 13,26,262 13,26,262
Announcement Date 26/03/21 28/03/22 29/03/23 20/03/24 26/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 23x 17.8x
PBR 13.1x 8.64x
EV / Sales 7.3x 5.39x
Yield 1.5% 1.96%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
32
Last Close Price
218.63CNY
Average target price
306.79CNY
Spread / Average Target
+40.32%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 9992 Stock
  4. Financials Pop Mart International Group Limited