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Delayed
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 45.22 BRL | -6.92% |
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-7.65% | +46.92% |
| 06:23pm | Petroleo Brasileiro to Take Over Operations at Offshore African Oil Block | MT |
| 05:11pm | Brazil's Petrobras to buy stake, assume operation of block in São Tomé and Príncipe - filing | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,52,668 | 6,41,256 | 5,09,987 | 5,27,918 | 4,70,950 | 5,48,306 | 5,30,458 | 5,34,574 |
| Change | - | 41.66% | -20.47% | 3.52% | -10.79% | 16.43% | -3.26% | 0.78% |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,34,576 | 3,40,482 | 2,61,016 | 2,64,987 | 2,31,111 | 2,72,145 | 2,67,167 | 2,71,306 |
| Change | - | 45.15% | -23.34% | 1.52% | -12.78% | 17.76% | -1.83% | 1.55% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,71,528 | 2,72,280 | 1,94,883 | 1,92,922 | 1,51,135 | 1,90,131 | 1,79,191 | 1,79,943 |
| Change | - | 58.74% | -28.43% | -1.01% | -21.66% | 25.8% | -5.75% | 0.42% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -59,256 | -18,040 | -11,861 | -23,356 | -14,911 | -17,360 | -17,165 | -15,221 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,51,575 | 2,74,998 | 1,76,269 | 64,344 | 1,41,478 | 1,72,457 | 1,55,716 | 1,55,821 |
| Change | - | 81.43% | -35.9% | -63.5% | 119.88% | 21.9% | -9.71% | 0.07% |
| Net income 1 | 1,06,668 | 1,88,328 | 1,23,920 | 43,473 | 1,03,668 | 1,14,796 | 1,03,482 | 1,02,667 |
| Change | - | 76.56% | -34.2% | -64.92% | 138.46% | 10.73% | -9.86% | -0.79% |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 02/03/23 | 08/03/24 | 26/02/25 | 06/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 2,65,778 | 2,24,510 | 2,27,799 | 3,04,800 | 3,19,931 | 3,07,110 | 2,96,913 | 2,82,927 |
| Change | - | -15.53% | 1.46% | 33.8% | 4.96% | -4.01% | -3.32% | -4.71% |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 02/03/23 | 08/03/24 | 26/02/25 | 06/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 34,134 | 49,656 | 62,297 | 85,442 | 1,03,071 | 94,630 | 97,476 | 99,640 |
| Change | - | 45.47% | 25.46% | 37.15% | 20.63% | -8.19% | 3.01% | 2.22% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,68,992 | 2,05,754 | 1,59,925 | 1,36,180 | 87,257 | 81,278 | 83,974 | 85,848 |
| Change | - | 21.75% | -22.27% | -14.85% | -35.92% | -6.85% | 3.32% | 2.23% |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 02/03/23 | 08/03/24 | 26/02/25 | 06/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 51.82% | 53.1% | 51.18% | 50.19% | 49.07% | 49.63% | 50.37% | 50.75% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 37.89% | 42.46% | 38.21% | 36.54% | 32.09% | 34.68% | 33.78% | 33.66% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 33.48% | 42.88% | 34.56% | 12.19% | 30.04% | 31.45% | 29.35% | 29.15% |
| Net margin (%) | 23.56% | 29.37% | 24.3% | 8.23% | 22.01% | 20.94% | 19.51% | 19.21% |
| FCF margin (%) | 37.33% | 32.09% | 31.36% | 25.8% | 18.53% | 14.82% | 15.83% | 16.06% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 158.43% | 109.25% | 129.05% | 313.25% | 84.17% | 70.8% | 81.15% | 83.62% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 10.88% | 19.32% | 12.29% | 9.72% | 8.97% | 8.64% | 8.75% | 9.17% |
| ROE | 30.66% | 50.23% | 33.54% | 28.14% | 29.04% | 24.72% | 21.06% | 18.89% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.13x | 0.66x | 0.87x | 1.15x | 1.38x | 1.13x | 1.11x | 1.04x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.57x | 1.09x | 1.42x | 2.24x | 3.67x | 3.78x | 3.54x | 3.3x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 7.54% | 7.74% | 12.22% | 16.18% | 21.89% | 17.26% | 18.38% | 18.64% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 14.55% | 14.58% | 23.87% | 32.24% | 44.6% | 34.77% | 36.49% | 36.73% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 20.2% | 24.13% | 38.95% | 62.74% | 118.12% | 116.43% | 116.08% | 116.06% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 15.57 | 19.58 | 16.56 | 15.82 | 14.77 | 15.6 | 12.33 | 14.97 |
| Change | - | 25.74% | -15.41% | -4.5% | -6.65% | 5.61% | -20.95% | 21.39% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 8.534 | 15.09 | 5.569 | 5.734 | 3.199 | 5.196 | 5.008 | 5.834 |
| Change | - | 76.82% | -63.09% | 2.96% | -44.21% | 62.41% | -3.62% | 16.5% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 29.69 | 27.8 | 29.4 | 28.4 | 30.96 | 37.33 | 41.48 | 45.27 |
| Change | - | -6.39% | 5.77% | -3.41% | 9.01% | 20.59% | 11.1% | 9.14% |
| EPS 1 | 8.18 | 14.44 | 9.57 | 2.84 | 8.026 | 9.722 | 8.414 | 8.554 |
| Change | - | 76.53% | -33.73% | -70.32% | 182.59% | 21.14% | -13.45% | 1.66% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,30,44,201 | 1,30,44,201 | 1,30,15,466 | 1,28,88,733 | 1,28,88,733 | 1,28,88,733 | 1,28,88,733 | 1,28,88,733 |
| Announcement Date | 24/02/22 | 02/03/23 | 08/03/24 | 26/02/25 | 06/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 5x | 5.77x |
| PBR | 1.3x | 1.17x |
| EV / Sales | 1.77x | 1.81x |
| Yield | 10.7% | 10.3% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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