Projected Income Statement: Pembina Pipeline Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Pembina Pipeline Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 10,795 11,196 10,506 10,362 12,515 14,941 14,810 14,834
Change - 3.71% -6.16% -1.37% 20.78% 19.38% -0.88% 0.16%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Pembina Pipeline Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,029 658 605 606 955 992.6 1,038 893.5
Change - -36.05% -8.05% 0.17% 57.59% 3.94% 4.56% -13.91%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,223 1,992 2,324 2,029 2,259 2,238 2,274 2,430
Change - 62.88% 16.67% -12.69% 11.34% -0.91% 1.59% 6.87%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Pembina Pipeline Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 52.9% 39.79% 32.26% 41.91% 59.7% 53.89% 54.61% 56.62%
EBIT Margin (%) 41.62% 31.41% 26.38% 34.64% 48.02% 40.79% 41.7% 44.18%
EBT Margin (%) -6.71% 19.3% 27.72% 23.99% 23.29% 32.32% 33.94% 36.6%
Net margin (%) -7.67% 12.73% 24.48% 18.06% 23.31% 21.59% 22.81% 24.56%
FCF margin (%) 19.72% 23.09% 20.02% 22.24% 30.59% 27.57% 27.61% 29.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) -256.93% 181.42% 81.77% 123.12% 131.26% 127.72% 121.06% 120.61%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.63% 3.85% 3.49% 5.14% 5.02% 5.17% 5.13% 5.15%
ROE 7.33% 8.28% 12.1% 10.45% 10.33% 10.84% 11.17% 11.54%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.29x 3.26x 2.8x 2.71x 2.84x 3.42x 3.29x 3.19x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.83x 5.62x 4.52x 5.11x 5.54x 6.67x 6.51x 6.1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.59% 7.63% 5.21% 6.64% 12.93% 12.23% 12.6% 10.89%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.36% 19.17% 16.15% 15.85% 21.67% 22.69% 23.08% 19.23%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 84.14% 33.03% 26.03% 29.87% 42.28% 44.35% 45.64% 36.77%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.1 4.82 5.3 4.79 5.599 5.25 5.43 5.41
Change - 17.56% 9.96% -9.62% 16.9% -6.24% 3.43% -0.37%
Dividend per Share 1 2.52 2.52 2.55 2.66 2.738 2.831 2.925 3.028
Change - 0% 1.19% 4.31% 2.91% 3.42% 3.3% 3.53%
Book Value Per Share 1 27.19 26.01 28.44 28.75 30.56 26.34 26.3 26.28
Change - -4.37% 9.37% 1.08% 6.29% -13.82% -0.13% -0.1%
EPS 1 -0.86 1.99 5.12 2.99 3 2.995 3.178 3.414
Change - 331.4% 157.29% -41.6% 0.33% -0.18% 6.11% 7.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,49,942 5,50,363 5,49,455 5,49,370 5,80,530 5,80,908 5,80,908 5,80,908
Announcement Date 25/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 17x 16x
PBR 1.94x 1.94x
EV / Sales 5.49x 5.39x
Yield 5.55% 5.74%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
50.98CAD
Average target price
60.28CAD
Spread / Average Target
+18.24%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. PPL Stock
  4. Financials Pembina Pipeline Corporation