Projected Income Statement: Pan American Silver Corp.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Pan American Silver Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -289 84.5 361 -154 -467 -1,939 -3,610 -8,129
Change - 129.24% 327.22% -142.66% -203.25% -315.2% -86.18% -125.18%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Pan American Silver Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 243.5 274.7 379 323.4 314 480.1 338.6 328.2
Change - 12.82% 37.97% -14.67% -2.91% 52.9% -29.47% -3.06%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 148.6 -242.8 71.2 400.7 1,019 1,628 2,004 1,638
Change - -263.34% 129.33% 462.78% 154.3% 59.74% 23.14% -18.28%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Pan American Silver Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 36.33% 21.21% 26.89% 35.76% 48.08% 59.03% 62.22% 57.92%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.78% -2.95% 5.98% 15.48% 34.35% 46.38% 42.87% 45.24%
EBT Margin (%) 15% -20.13% -2.54% 15.31% 34.21% 52.86% 55.75% 100.43%
Net margin (%) 5.97% -22.86% -4.53% 3.96% 27.02% 35.6% 37.18% 45.13%
FCF margin (%) 9.1% -16.24% 3.07% 14.21% 28.16% 33.42% 42.34% 35.61%
FCF / Net Income (%) 152.55% 71.04% -67.87% 359.37% 104.19% 93.86% 113.9% 78.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.65% - - - - 12.6% 12.4% 11.7%
ROE 6.18% 0.74% 1.13% 6.06% 16.72% 20.37% 15.9% 14.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.27x 0.58x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.35x 5.07x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.91% 18.38% 16.36% 11.47% 8.68% 9.86% 7.15% 7.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 41.05% 86.63% 60.85% 32.08% 18.05% 16.7% 11.5% 12.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 163.81% -113.14% 532.3% 80.71% 30.81% 29.49% 16.89% 20.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.201 0.3512 1.168 2.344 3.569 5.785 5.268 6.107
Change - -84.04% 232.44% 100.78% 52.25% 62.06% -8.93% 15.92%
Dividend per Share 1 0.34 0.45 0.4 0.4 0.46 0.63 0.7 -
Change - 32.35% -11.11% 0% 15% 36.96% 11.11% -
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 0.46 -1.62 -0.32 0.31 2.56 3.725 3.555 3.78
Change - -452.17% 80.25% 196.88% 725.81% 45.51% -4.56% 6.33%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,10,313 2,10,688 3,64,439 3,64,440 4,22,047 4,21,806 4,21,806 4,21,806
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 15.1x 15.8x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 4.46x 4.23x
Yield 1.12% 1.25%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
56.07USD
Average target price
73.79USD
Spread / Average Target
+31.61%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. PAAS Stock
  4. PAAS Stock
  5. Financials Pan American Silver Corp.
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