Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,365 8,295 7,405 5,999 5,400 4,936 1,094 -13,335
Change - -11.43% -10.73% -18.99% -9.98% -8.6% -77.84% -1,318.92%
Announcement Date 20/01/22 19/01/23 23/01/24 21/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 524.6 407.7 348.6 439.5 688.2 765.3 767.4 814.3
Change - -22.28% -14.51% 26.1% 56.58% 11.21% 0.27% 6.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -158.9 1,619 6,926 6,922 9,461 12,869 14,166 16,615
Change - 1,118.62% 327.9% -0.06% 36.68% 36.02% 10.08% 17.29%
Announcement Date 20/01/22 19/01/23 23/01/24 21/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.92% 20.7% 22.69% 28.25% 31.05% 33.3% 35.13% 37.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.86% 17.82% 20.62% 26.71% 29.49% 31.49% 33.54% 35.37%
EBT Margin (%) 19.67% 16.65% 18.4% 25.55% 28.16% 35.72% 32.65% 34.83%
Net margin (%) 17.23% 14.21% 16.04% 22.34% 24.3% 29.8% 27.79% 29.37%
FCF margin (%) -0.54% 5.12% 20.54% 17.75% 20.94% 25.13% 24.86% 26.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) -3.11% 36.03% 128.07% 79.45% 86.16% 84.31% 89.45% 90.16%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.2% 9.64% 11.11% 17.02% 20.11% 24.92% 23.74% 24.31%
ROE 38.02% 24.53% 26.15% 38.43% 42.76% 52.6% 47.29% 49.51%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.38x 1.27x 0.97x 0.54x 0.38x 0.29x 0.05x -
Debt / Free cash flow -58.94x 5.12x 1.07x 0.87x 0.57x 0.38x 0.08x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.77% 1.29% 1.03% 1.13% 1.52% 1.49% 1.35% 1.3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.71% 6.23% 4.56% 3.99% 4.91% 4.49% 3.83% 3.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -330.15% 25.19% 5.03% 6.35% 7.27% 5.95% 5.42% 4.9%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0862 0.449 1.618 1.676 2.388 3.178 3.506 4.035
Change - 420.75% 260.44% 3.55% 42.51% 33.05% 10.33% 15.09%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 3.481 4.604 4.663 5.633 6.263 7.517 8.759 10.36
Change - 32.28% 1.27% 20.81% 11.19% 20.02% 16.52% 18.33%
EPS 1 1.124 0.995 1.203 1.983 2.53 3.584 3.809 4.557
Change - -11.48% 20.9% 64.84% 27.58% 41.65% 6.28% 19.65%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 44,29,522 44,50,205 43,76,797 42,74,581 42,37,323 41,63,940 41,63,940 41,63,940
Announcement Date 20/01/22 19/01/23 23/01/24 21/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.7x 17.6x
PBR 8.92x 7.66x
EV / Sales 5.55x 4.92x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
51
Last Close Price
67.06USD
Average target price
92.93USD
Spread / Average Target
+38.57%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise