Projected Income Statement: MPLX LP

Forecast Balance Sheet: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,558 19,558 19,383 19,429 23,516 25,148 25,743 26,766
Change - 5.39% -0.89% 0.24% 21.04% 6.94% 2.37% 3.97%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 596 806 937 1,056 1,808 2,900 1,855 1,721
Change - 35.23% 16.25% 12.7% 71.21% 60.4% -36.03% -7.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,399 4,213 4,135 3,942 1,033 3,068 4,311 4,950
Change - -4.23% -1.85% -4.67% -73.8% 196.96% 40.52% 14.84%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 55.45% 49.73% 55.57% 56.68% 53.99% 54.96% 56.68% 56.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 39.81% 42.29% 43.44% 44.31% 45.72% 42.46% 44.32% 43.95%
EBT Margin (%) 31.05% 34.32% 35.25% 36.6% 38.16% 33.74% 36.69% 37.15%
Net margin (%) 29.28% 32.85% 33.94% 35.95% 37.79% 33.58% 35.97% 36.25%
FCF margin (%) 43.87% 36.28% 36.65% 33.03% 7.95% 23.11% 31.22% 33.83%
FCF / Net Income (%) 149.83% 110.43% 107.99% 91.89% 21.03% 68.81% 86.8% 93.34%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.16% 10.72% 10.61% 11.59% 12.2% 10.8% 11.5% 12.6%
ROE 23.89% 27.15% 29.75% 32.96% 35.24% 31.96% 36.4% 39.43%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.34x 3.39x 3.09x 2.87x 3.35x 3.45x 3.29x 3.24x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.22x 4.64x 4.69x 4.93x 22.76x 8.2x 5.97x 5.41x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.94% 6.94% 8.31% 8.85% 13.91% 21.85% 13.43% 11.76%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.72% 13.96% 14.95% 15.61% 25.77% 39.75% 23.7% 20.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.55% 19.13% 22.66% 26.79% 175.02% 94.54% 43.03% 34.77%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.782 4.969 5.386 5.847 5.799 5.999 6.557 -
Change - 3.92% 8.39% 8.55% -0.82% 3.45% 9.3% -
Dividend per Share 1 3.36 2.96 3.25 3.613 4.066 4.566 5.058 5.575
Change - -11.9% 9.8% 11.17% 12.54% 12.31% 10.76% 10.23%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.5 12.31 12.66 13.35 14.09 14.3 14.38 14.24
Change - 7.06% 2.86% 5.4% 5.56% 1.52% 0.53% -0.98%
EPS 1 2.86 3.75 3.8 4.21 4.82 4.335 4.882 5.227
Change - 31.12% 1.33% 10.79% 14.49% -10.07% 12.62% 7.08%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,19,864 10,03,243 10,01,217 10,18,812 10,17,065 10,14,734 10,14,734 10,14,734
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.9x 12.4x
PBR 4.22x 4.2x
EV / Sales 6.51x 6.3x
Yield 7.56% 8.37%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
60.42USD
Average target price
61.46USD
Spread / Average Target
+1.72%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise