Projected Income Statement: MPLX LP

Forecast Balance Sheet: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,558 19,558 19,383 19,429 23,516 24,300 25,343 25,919
Change - 5.39% -0.89% 0.24% 21.04% 3.33% 4.29% 2.27%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 596 806 937 1,056 1,808 2,295 1,983 1,849
Change - 35.23% 16.25% 12.7% 71.21% 26.95% -13.62% -6.75%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,399 4,213 4,135 3,942 1,033 3,558 4,278 4,988
Change - -4.23% -1.85% -4.67% -73.8% 244.41% 20.24% 16.59%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MPLX LP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 55.45% 49.73% 55.57% 56.68% 53.99% 56.49% 57.24% 57.14%
EBIT Margin (%) 39.81% 42.29% 43.44% 44.31% 45.72% 44.91% 44.95% 44.98%
EBT Margin (%) 31.05% 34.32% 35.25% 36.6% 38.16% 36.58% 37.11% 39.36%
Net margin (%) 29.28% 32.85% 33.94% 35.95% 37.79% 36.02% 36.41% 37.85%
FCF margin (%) 43.87% 36.28% 36.65% 33.03% 7.95% 27.31% 31.23% 34.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) 149.83% 110.43% 107.99% 91.89% 21.03% 75.83% 85.77% 90.92%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.16% 10.72% 10.61% 11.59% 12.2% 11.1% 11.6% 12.5%
ROE 23.89% 27.15% 29.75% 32.96% - 32.39% 34.82% 37.78%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.34x 3.39x 3.09x 2.87x 3.35x 3.3x 3.23x 3.13x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.22x 4.64x 4.69x 4.93x 22.76x 6.83x 5.92x 5.2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.94% 6.94% 8.31% 8.85% 13.91% 17.62% 14.47% 12.76%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.72% 13.96% 14.95% 15.61% 25.77% 31.19% 25.28% 22.33%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.55% 19.13% 22.66% 26.79% 175.02% 64.51% 46.34% 37.06%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.782 4.969 5.386 5.847 5.799 6.41 6.414 -
Change - 3.92% 8.39% 8.55% -0.82% 10.53% 0.06% -
Dividend per Share 1 3.36 2.96 3.25 3.613 4.066 4.511 5.014 5.508
Change - -11.9% 9.8% 11.17% 12.54% 10.95% 11.15% 9.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.5 12.31 12.66 13.35 - 14.55 14.44 14.19
Change - 7.06% 2.86% 5.4% - - -0.7% -1.75%
EPS 1 2.86 3.75 3.8 4.21 4.82 4.515 4.865 5.282
Change - 31.12% 1.33% 10.79% 14.49% -6.34% 7.76% 8.56%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,19,864 10,03,243 10,01,217 10,18,812 10,17,065 10,15,204 10,15,204 10,15,204
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.4x 11.5x
PBR 3.86x 3.89x
EV / Sales 6.24x 6.01x
Yield 8.03% 8.93%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
56.15USD
Average target price
60.07USD
Spread / Average Target
+6.98%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise