Company Valuation: Moderna, Inc.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 1,02,976 69,006 37,919 16,001 11,523 20,742 - -
Change - -32.99% -45.05% -57.8% -27.99% 80.01% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 92,848 59,104 29,315 8,976 5,724 16,877 18,298 18,695
Change - -36.34% -50.4% -69.38% -36.23% 194.87% 8.42% 2.17%
P/E ratio 8.98x 8.93x -8.07x -4.48x -4.06x -7.57x -11.5x -18.2x
PBR 7.24x 3.7x 2.74x 1.46x 1.33x 3.09x 4.18x 5.59x
PEG - -0.3x 0x 0.2x 0.2x 1.72x 0.3x 0.5x
Capitalization / Revenue 5.58x 3.58x 5.54x 4.94x 5.93x 10x 8.19x 6.45x
EV / Revenue 5.03x 3.07x 4.28x 2.77x 2.94x 8.17x 7.23x 5.82x
EV / EBITDA 6.86x 6.05x -8.1x -2.39x -2x -6.07x -10.3x -19.6x
EV / EBIT 6.98x 6.27x -6.92x -2.28x -1.86x -5.9x -9.28x -15.6x
EV / FCF 6.96x 12.9x -7.66x -2.21x -2.77x -6.43x -10.9x -15x
FCF Yield 14.4% 7.75% -13% -45.2% -36.1% -15.5% -9.16% -6.66%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - -
Rate of return - - - - - - - -
EPS 2 28.29 20.12 -12.33 -9.28 -7.26 -6.941 -4.562 -2.88
Distribution rate - - - - - - - -
Net sales 1 18,471 19,263 6,848 3,236 1,944 2,067 2,532 3,214
EBITDA 1 13,528 9,768 -3,618 -3,756 -2,859 -2,780 -1,771 -954.9
EBIT 1 13,296 9,420 -4,239 -3,945 -3,074 -2,860 -1,971 -1,199
Net income 1 12,202 8,362 -4,714 -3,561 -2,822 -2,738 -1,817 -1,164
Net Debt 1 -10,128 -9,902 -8,604 -7,025 -5,799 -3,865 -2,444 -2,047
Reference price 2 253.98 179.62 99.45 41.58 29.49 52.52 52.52 52.52
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,05,450 3,84,180 3,81,284 3,84,818 3,90,734 3,94,939 - -
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
-7.57x8.17x-6.07x-.--% 2.07TCr
19.25x4.42x12.55x0.52% 7.8TCr
27.55x5.47x15.8x0.58% 5.54TCr
44.81x13.52x25.08x-.--% 5.12TCr
36.47x3.7x10.65x2.81% 4.94TCr
15.62x2.88x8.36x-.--% 2.71TCr
15.08x2.43x7.68x-.--% 1.91TCr
74.02x8.75x87.5x-.--% 1.85TCr
633.76x4.95x12.67x-.--% 1.41TCr
284.59x95.55x173.96x - 1.34TCr
Average 114.36x 14.98x 34.82x 0.43% 3.47TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 62.92x 9.60x 23.18x 0.63%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Moderna, Inc.
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