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| 2.972 EUR | -1.07% |
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2.973 | +0.03% |
| 24/03 | Unattractive valuations for Finnish forest industry groups - Inderes | FW |
| 19/03 | Metsä Approves Board and Committee Elections | CI |
Projected Income Statement: Metsä Board Oyj
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,084 | 2,480 | 1,942 | 1,939 | 1,776 | 1,734 | 1,860 | 1,945 |
| Change | - | 18.98% | -21.68% | -0.17% | -8.4% | -2.33% | 7.26% | 4.55% |
| EBITDA 1 | 472.2 | 602.8 | 216 | 175 | 29.6 | 141.8 | 217.1 | 247.1 |
| Change | - | 27.66% | -64.17% | -18.98% | -83.09% | 379.22% | 53.04% | 13.83% |
| EBIT 1 | 386.6 | 520.7 | 122.2 | 69 | -80.2 | 51.23 | 110.4 | 140.2 |
| Change | - | 34.69% | -76.53% | -43.54% | -216.23% | 163.88% | 115.51% | 26.94% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -10 | -6.7 | 0.1 | -10.8 | -16.1 | -15.15 | -16 | -14.4 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 365.8 | 524.9 | 120.9 | 51.4 | -186.9 | 41.65 | 109.2 | 128 |
| Change | - | 43.49% | -76.97% | -57.49% | -463.62% | 122.28% | 162.12% | 17.27% |
| Net income 1 | 314 | 461.3 | 101.6 | 39.4 | -164.6 | 34.2 | 78.2 | 86.82 |
| Change | - | 46.91% | -77.98% | -61.22% | -517.77% | 120.78% | 128.65% | 11.02% |
| Announcement Date | 10/02/22 | 09/02/23 | 08/02/24 | 06/02/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Metsä Board Oyj
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -77.2 | 96.8 | 147 | 345 | 255 | 215 | 126 | 27.7 |
| Change | - | 225.39% | 51.86% | 134.69% | -26.09% | -15.75% | -41.4% | -78.02% |
| Announcement Date | 10/02/22 | 09/02/23 | 08/02/24 | 06/02/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Metsä Board Oyj
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 213.7 | 274.2 | 218.4 | 164 | 136 | 75.8 | 80.2 | 90.6 |
| Change | - | 28.31% | -20.35% | -24.91% | -17.07% | -44.26% | 5.8% | 12.97% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 146.6 | 26.7 | 124.4 | -126.2 | 103.6 | 56.83 | 105.5 | 122.7 |
| Change | - | -81.79% | 365.92% | -201.45% | 182.09% | -45.14% | 85.59% | 16.35% |
| Announcement Date | 10/02/22 | 09/02/23 | 08/02/24 | 06/02/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Metsä Board Oyj
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 22.66% | 24.31% | 11.12% | 9.03% | 1.67% | 8.18% | 11.67% | 12.71% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 18.55% | 21% | 6.29% | 3.56% | -4.52% | 2.95% | 5.94% | 7.21% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 17.55% | 21.17% | 6.23% | 2.65% | -10.53% | 2.4% | 5.87% | 6.58% |
| Net margin (%) | 15.07% | 18.6% | 5.23% | 2.03% | -9.27% | 1.97% | 4.2% | 4.46% |
| FCF margin (%) | 7.03% | 1.08% | 6.41% | -6.51% | 5.83% | 3.28% | 5.67% | 6.31% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 46.69% | 5.79% | 122.44% | -320.3% | -62.94% | 166.18% | 134.88% | 141.36% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 12.02% | 14.27% | 3.21% | 1.47% | - | - | - | - |
| ROE | 19.4% | 22.5% | 4.7% | 2.25% | -5% | 1.58% | 4.92% | 4.95% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 0.16x | 0.68x | 1.97x | 8.62x | 1.51x | 0.58x | 0.11x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | 3.63x | 1.18x | -2.73x | 2.46x | 3.78x | 1.2x | 0.23x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 10.25% | 11.06% | 11.25% | 8.46% | 7.66% | 4.37% | 4.31% | 4.66% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 45.26% | 45.49% | 101.11% | 93.71% | 459.46% | 53.44% | 36.94% | 36.66% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 145.77% | 1,026.97% | 175.56% | -129.95% | 131.27% | 133.37% | 76.04% | 73.82% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.8607 | 0.6529 | 0.911 | 0.0763 | 0.6405 | 0.355 | 0.495 | 0.6 |
| Change | - | -24.15% | 39.53% | -91.62% | 739.45% | -44.57% | 39.44% | 21.21% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.41 | 0.58 | 0.25 | 0.07 | - | 0.0375 | 0.11 | 0.1667 |
| Change | - | 41.46% | -56.9% | -72% | - | - | 193.33% | 51.52% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 4.78 | 5.86 | 5.35 | 4.91 | 4.48 | 4.674 | 4.856 | 5.047 |
| Change | - | 22.59% | -8.7% | -8.22% | -8.76% | 4.34% | 3.89% | 3.93% |
| EPS 1 | 0.82 | 1.15 | 0.27 | 0.07 | -0.44 | 0.095 | 0.235 | 0.2632 |
| Change | - | 40.24% | -76.52% | -74.07% | -728.57% | 121.59% | 147.37% | 12.01% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 3,55,513 | 3,54,513 | 3,54,812 | 3,55,035 | 3,55,152 | 3,55,152 | 3,55,152 | 3,55,152 |
| Announcement Date | 10/02/22 | 09/02/23 | 08/02/24 | 06/02/25 | 05/02/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 31.6x | 12.8x |
| PBR | 0.64x | 0.62x |
| EV / Sales | 0.77x | 0.67x |
| Yield | 1.25% | 3.66% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Metsä Board Oyj
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