Projected Income Statement: Kumagai Gumi Co.,Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Kumagai Gumi Co.,Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -55,252 -18,781 -17,694 -8,021 -14,946 -23,802 -29,612 -30,456
Change - 66.01% 5.79% 54.67% -86.34% -59.25% -24.41% -2.85%
Announcement Date 13/05/22 12/05/23 14/05/24 15/05/25 15/05/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Kumagai Gumi Co.,Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,158 4,144 2,252 4,074 4,683 6,000 6,000
Change - 31.22% -45.66% 80.91% 14.95% 28.12% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,863 -27,284 6,193 -3,757 18,558 12,100 17,350
Change - -661.05% 122.7% -160.67% 593.96% -34.8% 43.39%
Announcement Date 13/05/22 12/05/23 14/05/24 15/05/25 15/05/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Kumagai Gumi Co.,Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.83% 3.32% 3.32% 3.28% 5.99% 6.78% 7.29% 8.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.35% 2.85% 2.85% 2.87% 5.56% 6.29% 6.85% 7.94%
EBT Margin (%) 5.39% 2.98% 2.84% 2.77% 6.14% 6.06% 6.47% -
Net margin (%) 3.73% 1.98% 1.88% 1.88% 4.11% 4.29% 4.64% 5.4%
FCF margin (%) 1.14% -6.76% 1.4% -0.75% 3.81% 2.38% 3.34% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 30.68% -342.2% 74.47% -40.16% 92.48% 55.4% 71.81% -

Profitability

        
ROA 6.32% 3.27% 3.09% 3.1% 5.94% 4.9% 5.43% -
ROE 9.5% 4.7% 4.8% 5.2% 10.9% 11.76% 11.65% 12.95%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.74% 1.03% 0.51% 0.82% 0.96% 1.18% 1.15% -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.75% 30.97% 15.31% 24.89% 16.02% 17.39% 15.83% -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 64.94% -15.19% 36.36% -108.44% 25.23% 49.59% 34.58% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 44.56 55.6 98.14 66.46 129.4 40 2 -
Change - 24.76% 76.51% -32.28% 94.67% -69.08% -95% -
Dividend per Share 1 30 32.5 32.5 32.5 47 52 56.6 65.5
Change - 8.33% 0% 0% 44.62% 10.64% 8.85% 15.72%
Book Value Per Share 1 937.8 973.5 1,046 1,059 1,106 1,160 1,257 1,293
Change - 3.81% 7.48% 1.21% 4.4% 4.93% 8.38% 2.85%
EPS 1 85.53 44.91 48.09 54.43 116.9 128.4 142.3 165.1
Change - -47.49% 7.08% 13.19% 114.83% 9.84% 10.77% 16.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,80,824 1,74,486 1,72,042 1,71,695 1,69,920 1,69,918 1,69,918 1,69,918
Announcement Date 13/05/22 12/05/23 14/05/24 15/05/25 15/05/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 11.4x 10.3x
PBR 1.26x 1.17x
EV / Sales 0.44x 0.42x
Yield 3.55% 3.86%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
1,465.00JPY
Average target price
2,016.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+37.61%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Kumagai Gumi Co.,Ltd.