Projected Income Statement: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 11,315 11,432 12,924 15,044 15,097 28,934 27,039 23,825
Change - 1.03% 13.05% 16.4% 0.35% 91.65% -6.55% -11.89%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 25/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 423 353 425 563 486 765.4 973.6 957.2
Change - -16.55% 20.4% 32.47% -13.68% 57.49% 27.19% -1.68%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,451 2,484 904 1,660 1,505 3,752 3,174 -
Change - 1.35% -63.61% 83.63% -9.34% 149.29% -15.39% -100%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 25/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.31% 29.01% 28.65% 29.86% 29.32% 24.53% 24.16% 24.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.97% 25.17% 24.69% 25.89% 25.03% 21.4% 20.93% 21.31%
EBT Margin (%) 22.06% 12.23% 18.61% 12.47% 16.18% 14.94% 15.61% 17.41%
Net margin (%) 16.92% 10.22% 14.72% 9.39% 12.52% 9.79% 10.74% 11.35%
FCF margin (%) 19.33% 17.67% 6.1% 10.81% 9.06% 14.62% 10.63% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 114.21% 172.98% 41.45% 115.2% 72.39% 149.27% 99% -

Profitability

        
ROA 4.54% 4.68% 4.84% 4.99% 5.13% 3.86% 3.99% 4.3%
ROE 9.34% 9.57% 9.91% 10.55% 11.22% 12.09% 13.55% 14.36%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.85x 2.8x 3.05x 3.28x 3.1x 4.6x 3.75x 3.11x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.62x 4.6x 14.3x 9.06x 10.03x 7.71x 8.52x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.34% 2.51% 2.87% 3.67% 2.93% 2.98% 3.26% 3.11%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.65% 8.66% 10.01% 12.28% 9.98% 12.16% 13.49% 12.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 17.26% 14.21% 47.01% 33.92% 32.29% 20.4% 30.67% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.013 1.986 0.9436 1.622 1.461 2.199 2.196 3.358
Change - -1.33% -52.49% 71.91% -9.93% 50.52% -0.12% 52.87%
Dividend per Share 1 0.7125 0.775 0.83 0.89 - 0.9515 1.002 1.045
Change - 8.77% 7.1% 7.23% - - 5.31% 4.28%
Book Value Per Share 1 17.49 17.59 18.23 17.87 18.72 21.58 22.96 24.17
Change - 0.58% 3.64% -1.98% 4.78% 15.25% 6.42% 5.25%
EPS 1 1.5 1.01 1.55 1.05 1.53 1.967 2.429 2.662
Change - -32.67% 53.47% -32.26% 45.71% 28.54% 23.49% 9.59%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 14,17,962 14,17,962 13,98,336 13,56,454 13,58,583 13,58,666 13,58,666 13,58,666
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 25/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14.4x 11.6x
PBR 1.31x 1.23x
EV / Sales 2.62x 2.19x
Yield 3.37% 3.55%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
28.25USD
Average target price
35.57USD
Spread / Average Target
+25.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. KDP Stock
  4. Financials Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
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