Projected Income Statement: Hikari Tsushin, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Hikari Tsushin, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,89,601 2,74,371 3,32,406 3,27,643 4,64,047 4,49,081 4,56,743 4,41,345
Change - 44.71% 21.15% -1.43% 41.63% -3.23% 1.71% -3.37%
Announcement Date 14/05/21 16/05/22 16/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Hikari Tsushin, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 15,319 17,990 18,325 18,283 21,553 22,000 20,667 20,667
Change - 17.44% 1.86% -0.23% 17.89% 2.07% -6.06% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -38,524 -44,962 -24,545 35,482 -92,415 -1,16,851 -27,100 10,700
Change - -16.71% 45.41% 244.56% -360.46% -26.44% 76.81% 139.48%
Announcement Date 14/05/21 16/05/22 16/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Hikari Tsushin, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.32% 17.25% 15.97% 18.12% 17.35% 17.06% 17.3% 17.45%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.38% 14.36% 13.45% 15.71% 15.3% 15.23% 15.41% 15.74%
EBT Margin (%) 14.69% 18.67% 18.4% 27.91% 21.95% 21.38% 20.37% 20.57%
Net margin (%) 9.76% 15.11% 14.18% 20.3% 17.12% 15.22% 14.01% 14.26%
FCF margin (%) -6.89% -7.78% -3.81% 5.89% -13.46% -15.16% -3.26% 1.21%
FCF / Net Income (%) -70.54% -51.47% -26.87% 29.03% -78.64% -99.6% -23.28% 8.47%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.37% 7.98% 7.54% 8.91% 6.77% 6.7% 6.9% 7.2%
ROE 16.1% 20.3% 17.6% 18% 13.8% 12.15% 10.87% 10.85%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.21x 2.75x 3.23x 3x 3.9x 3.42x 3.18x 2.85x
Debt / Free cash flow -4.92x -6.1x -13.54x 9.23x -5.02x -3.84x -16.85x 41.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.74% 3.11% 2.85% 3.04% 3.14% 2.85% 2.49% 2.33%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.87% 18.03% 17.81% 16.76% 18.09% 16.73% 14.38% 13.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -39.76% -40.01% -74.66% 51.53% -23.32% -18.83% -76.26% 193.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1,549 2,291 2,400 3,082 2,992 2,882 3,135 3,443
Change - 47.92% 4.75% 28.39% -2.92% -3.68% 8.8% 9.82%
Dividend per Share 1 456 491 545 638 661 722 796.4 853.1
Change - 7.68% 11% 17.06% 3.61% 9.23% 10.3% 7.12%
Book Value Per Share 1 8,575 10,352 12,773 17,907 20,845 23,286 25,075 27,016
Change - 20.72% 23.39% 40.19% 16.41% 11.71% 7.68% 7.74%
EPS 1 1,190 1,923 2,038 2,754 2,671 2,669 2,652 2,887
Change - 61.57% 5.95% 35.13% -2.99% -0.09% -0.62% 8.87%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 45,883 45,152 44,812 44,138 43,857 43,990 43,990 43,990
Announcement Date 14/05/21 16/05/22 16/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 17x 17.1x
PBR 1.95x 1.81x
EV / Sales 3.18x 2.96x
Yield 1.59% 1.75%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
45,430.00JPY
Average target price
44,185.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
-2.74%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 9435 Stock
  4. Financials Hikari Tsushin, Inc.