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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 36,290.00 JPY | -0.03% |
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-1.63% | -17.05% |
Projected Income Statement: Hikari Tsushin, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 5,59,429 | 5,78,269 | 6,43,984 | 6,01,948 | 6,86,553 | 7,34,791 | 8,16,955 | 8,88,952 |
| Change | - | 3.37% | 11.36% | -6.53% | 14.06% | 7.03% | 11.18% | 8.81% |
| EBITDA 1 | 85,720 | 99,763 | 1,02,868 | 1,09,102 | 1,19,112 | 1,33,139 | 1,44,472 | 1,56,090 |
| Change | - | 16.38% | 3.11% | 6.06% | 9.17% | 11.78% | 8.51% | 8.04% |
| EBIT 1 | 69,257 | 83,036 | 86,615 | 94,546 | 1,05,036 | 1,16,664 | 1,29,654 | 1,39,885 |
| Change | - | 19.9% | 4.31% | 9.16% | 11.1% | 11.07% | 11.13% | 7.89% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -9,092 | -10,143 | -10,574 | -14,778 | -15,862 | -22,399 | -18,000 | -20,000 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 82,170 | 1,07,978 | 1,18,479 | 1,68,000 | 1,50,718 | 1,99,081 | 1,64,830 | 1,84,714 |
| Change | - | 31.41% | 9.73% | 41.8% | -10.29% | 32.09% | -17.2% | 12.06% |
| Net income 1 | 54,614 | 87,360 | 91,345 | 1,22,225 | 1,17,523 | 1,51,014 | 1,12,995 | 1,27,673 |
| Change | - | 59.96% | 4.56% | 33.81% | -3.85% | 28.5% | -25.18% | 12.99% |
| Announcement Date | 14/05/21 | 16/05/22 | 16/05/23 | 15/05/24 | 14/05/25 | 13/05/26 | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Hikari Tsushin, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,89,601 | 2,74,371 | 3,32,406 | 3,27,643 | 4,64,047 | 5,48,618 | 3,75,928 | 4,42,595 |
| Change | - | 44.71% | 21.15% | -1.43% | 41.63% | 18.22% | -19.81% | 17.73% |
| Announcement Date | 14/05/21 | 16/05/22 | 16/05/23 | 15/05/24 | 14/05/25 | 13/05/26 | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Hikari Tsushin, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 15,319 | 17,990 | 18,325 | 18,283 | 21,553 | 19,399 | 19,800 | 19,800 |
| Change | - | 17.44% | 1.86% | -0.23% | 17.89% | -9.99% | -10% | 0% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -38,524 | -44,962 | -24,545 | 35,482 | -92,415 | -47,027 | 45,022 | 52,400 |
| Change | - | -16.71% | 45.41% | 244.56% | -360.46% | 49.11% | 135.46% | 16.39% |
| Announcement Date | 14/05/21 | 16/05/22 | 16/05/23 | 15/05/24 | 14/05/25 | 13/05/26 | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Hikari Tsushin, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 15.32% | 17.25% | 15.97% | 18.12% | 17.35% | 18.12% | 17.68% | 17.56% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 12.38% | 14.36% | 13.45% | 15.71% | 15.3% | 15.88% | 15.87% | 15.74% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 14.69% | 18.67% | 18.4% | 27.91% | 21.95% | 27.09% | 20.18% | 20.78% |
| Net margin (%) | 9.76% | 15.11% | 14.18% | 20.3% | 17.12% | 20.55% | 13.83% | 14.36% |
| FCF margin (%) | -6.89% | -7.78% | -3.81% | 5.89% | -13.46% | -6.4% | 5.51% | 5.89% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -70.54% | -51.47% | -26.87% | 29.03% | -78.64% | -31.14% | 39.84% | 41.04% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 7.37% | 7.98% | 7.54% | 8.91% | 6.77% | 7.62% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| ROE | 16.1% | 20.3% | 17.6% | 18% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 10.17% | 10.28% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.21x | 2.75x | 3.23x | 3x | 3.9x | 4.12x | 2.6x | 2.84x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -4.92x | -6.1x | -13.54x | 9.23x | -5.02x | -11.67x | 8.35x | 8.45x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.74% | 3.11% | 2.85% | 3.04% | 3.14% | 2.64% | 2.42% | 2.23% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 17.87% | 18.03% | 17.81% | 16.76% | 18.09% | 14.57% | 13.7% | 12.68% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -39.76% | -40.01% | -74.66% | 51.53% | -23.32% | -41.25% | 43.98% | 37.79% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1,549 | 2,291 | 2,400 | 3,082 | 2,992 | 3,816 | 3,135 | 3,443 |
| Change | - | 47.92% | 4.75% | 28.39% | -2.92% | 27.57% | 8.8% | 9.82% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 456 | 491 | 545 | 638 | 661 | 751 | 760 | 856.9 |
| Change | - | 7.68% | 11% | 17.06% | 3.61% | 13.62% | 4.54% | 12.75% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 8,575 | 10,352 | 12,773 | 17,907 | 20,845 | 27,056 | 26,497 | 28,971 |
| Change | - | 20.72% | 23.39% | 40.19% | 16.41% | 29.8% | 11.32% | 9.34% |
| EPS 1 | 1,190 | 1,923 | 2,038 | 2,754 | 2,671 | 3,440 | 2,577 | 2,920 |
| Change | - | 61.57% | 5.95% | 35.13% | -2.99% | 28.79% | -8.83% | 13.34% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 45,883 | 45,152 | 44,812 | 44,138 | 43,857 | 43,792 | 43,792 | 43,792 |
| Announcement Date | 14/05/21 | 16/05/22 | 16/05/23 | 15/05/24 | 14/05/25 | 13/05/26 | - | - |
| 2026 | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.6x | 14.1x |
| PBR | 1.47x | 1.37x |
| EV / Sales | 3.12x | 2.41x |
| Yield | 1.89% | 2.09% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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