Company Valuation: Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 32,178 32,038 48,978 1,04,180 1,52,317 1,60,520 - -
Change - -0.43% 52.87% 112.71% 46.21% 5.39% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 32,720 32,795 51,806 1,01,281 1,41,169 1,45,465 1,21,015 92,266
Change - 0.23% 57.97% 95.5% 39.38% 3.04% -16.81% -23.76%
P/E ratio 5.86x -30.2x 10.2x 12.1x 10.6x 5.99x 3.53x 3.67x
PBR 1.01x 1.06x 1.41x 2.6x 3.16x 2.41x 1.55x 1.26x
PEG - 0x -0x 0.2x 0.2x 0.1x 0.1x -0.93x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.77x 0.75x 0.99x 1.7x 2.06x 1.66x 1.29x 1.29x
EV / Revenue 0.78x 0.77x 1.05x 1.65x 1.91x 1.5x 0.97x 0.74x
EV / EBITDA 2.98x 4.46x 4.91x 6.21x 5.6x 3.25x 1.83x 1.5x
EV / EBIT 4.62x 8.92x 7.3x 8.67x 6.93x 3.77x 2.07x 1.73x
EV / FCF 8.11x 46.2x 22.4x 14x 13.1x 9.83x 4.59x 3.54x
FCF Yield 12.3% 2.16% 4.46% 7.16% 7.64% 10.2% 21.8% 28.3%
Dividend per Share 2 1.37 0.62 0.75 2.41 3.82 13.24 14.67 16.16
Rate of return 2.6% 1.19% 0.95% 1.43% 1.56% 5.15% 5.71% 6.29%
EPS 2 9.01 -1.72 7.8 13.86 23.13 42.88 72.87 69.98
Distribution rate 15.2% -36% 9.62% 17.4% 16.5% 30.9% 20.1% 23.1%
Net sales 1 41,733 42,645 49,275 61,379 73,896 96,801 1,24,707 1,24,272
EBITDA 1 10,978 7,361 10,548 16,318 25,199 44,794 66,095 61,487
EBIT 1 7,085 3,678 7,094 11,676 20,357 38,626 58,363 53,430
Net income 1 5,553 -1,052 4,820 8,587 14,384 25,546 36,246 31,111
Net Debt 1 542 757 2,828 -2,899 -11,148 -15,055 -39,505 -68,254
Reference price 2 52.76 51.97 79.25 168.05 244.81 256.90 256.90 256.90
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,09,898 6,16,478 6,18,025 6,19,936 6,22,183 6,24,835 - -
Announcement Date 31/08/21 30/08/22 29/08/23 04/09/24 28/08/25 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
5.99x1.5x3.25x5.15% 947.65Cr
44.05x12.06x20.45x - 6.43TCr
27.63x17.4x18.97x0.66% 4.85TCr
8.15x3.33x4.51x4.53% 4.12TCr
26.83x - - 2.27% 2.16TCr
15.23x4.56x7.59x3.34% 1.92TCr
27.89x14.65x16.95x0.64% 740.28Cr
10.87x5.85x9.03x2.13% 543.54Cr
12.02x0.91x7.95x3.78% 540.76Cr
Average 19.85x 7.53x 11.09x 2.81% 2.47TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 25.92x 9.97x 14.01x 2.64%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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