Company Valuation: Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Capitalization 1 43,339 32,178 32,038 48,978 1,04,180 1,54,824 - -
Change - -25.75% -0.43% 52.87% 112.71% 48.61% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 44,700 32,720 32,795 51,806 1,01,281 1,39,991 1,24,616 1,03,074
Change - -26.8% 0.23% 57.97% 95.5% 38.22% -10.98% -17.29%
P/E ratio -43.8x 5.86x -30.2x 10.2x 12.1x 18.5x 5.46x 5.4x
PBR 1.64x 1.01x 1.06x 1.41x 2.6x 3.3x 1.96x 1.52x
PEG - -0x 0x -0x 0.2x -6.79x 0x 5.1x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.48x 0.77x 0.75x 0.99x 1.7x 2.08x 1.71x 1.7x
EV / Revenue 1.53x 0.78x 0.77x 1.05x 1.65x 1.88x 1.38x 1.13x
EV / EBITDA 6.21x 2.98x 4.46x 4.91x 6.21x 4.66x 2.85x 2.42x
EV / EBIT 12.1x 4.62x 8.92x 7.3x 8.67x 5.89x 3.16x 2.8x
EV / FCF 40.2x 8.11x 46.2x 22.4x 14x 67.7x 8.58x 5.33x
FCF Yield 2.49% 12.3% 2.16% 4.46% 7.16% 1.48% 11.7% 18.8%
Dividend per Share 2 - 1.37 0.62 0.75 2.41 4.639 7.409 7.158
Rate of return - 2.6% 1.19% 0.95% 1.43% 1.86% 2.98% 2.88%
EPS 2 -1.64 9.01 -1.72 7.8 13.86 13.48 45.6 46.08
Distribution rate - 15.2% -36% 9.62% 17.4% 34.4% 16.2% 15.5%
Net sales 1 29,245 41,733 42,645 49,275 61,379 74,493 90,513 91,310
EBITDA 1 7,197 10,978 7,361 10,548 16,318 30,067 43,790 42,661
EBIT 1 3,689 7,085 3,678 7,094 11,676 23,774 39,480 36,802
Net income 1 -878 5,553 -1,052 4,820 8,587 5,120 32,266 36,580
Net Debt 1 1,361 542 757 2,828 -2,899 -14,833 -30,208 -51,750
Reference price 2 71.86 52.76 51.97 79.25 168.05 248.84 248.84 248.84
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,03,104 6,09,898 6,16,478 6,18,025 6,19,936 6,22,183 - -
Announcement Date 15/09/20 31/08/21 30/08/22 29/08/23 04/09/24 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
18.46x1.88x4.66x0.8% 876.04Cr
33.62x18.74x20.45x0.98% 2.98TCr
8.47x4.78x10.13x1.56% 2.2TCr
7.38x - - - 1.44TCr
16.38x - - 3.56% 1.02TCr
17.08x3.78x12.9x1.79% 987.93Cr
10.52x1.93x3.32x3.61% 715.36Cr
24.64x14.12x17.42x0.95% 478.2Cr
10.74x0.66x6.93x5.05% 437.75Cr
53.35x14.59x19.13x0.61% 280.92Cr
Average 20.06x 7.56x 11.87x 2.1% 1.14TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 19.10x 9.40x 13.30x 1.8%
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Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited