Projected Income Statement: Gulf Energy Development

Forecast Balance Sheet: Gulf Energy Development

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,96,380 - 2,73,437 2,70,509 2,68,856 3,18,010 3,17,510 3,29,537
Change - - - -1.07% -0.61% 18.28% -0.16% 3.79%
Announcement Date 18/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 10/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Gulf Energy Development

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 22,109 16,541 18,856 24,206 9,275 13,708 28,466 23,562
Change - -25.18% 13.99% 28.38% -61.68% 47.8% 107.66% -17.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -8,094 -5,264 -1,755 -4,391 11,198 64,752 50,696 59,436
Change - 34.97% 66.66% -150.17% 355.05% 478.22% -21.71% 17.24%
Announcement Date 18/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 10/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Gulf Energy Development

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 33.22% 22.89% 19.55% 20.47% 20.12% 23.08% 24.22% 26.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.71% 17.51% 15.88% 16.68% 16.37% 18.26% 19.1% 20.55%
EBT Margin (%) 20.04% 16.41% 18.12% 19.91% 66.07% 30.69% 30.55% 31.36%
Net margin (%) 16.16% 12.13% 13.03% 15.03% 66.76% 25.26% 26.35% 28.45%
FCF margin (%) -17.05% -5.59% -1.54% -3.63% 8.64% 47.73% 35.83% 40.83%
FCF / Net Income (%) -105.52% -46.1% -11.81% -24.16% 12.94% 188.91% 136% 143.51%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.52% 2.92% 3.39% 3.8% 3.93% 4.07% 4.29% 4.33%
ROE 9.55% 11.01% 13.07% 15.1% 10% 9.23% 9.74% 10.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 12.45x - 12.26x 10.93x 10.31x 10.16x 9.27x 8.69x
Debt / Free cash flow -24.26x - -155.8x -61.61x 24.01x 4.91x 6.26x 5.54x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 46.58% 17.57% 16.53% 20.02% 7.15% 10.1% 20.12% 16.19%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 140.19% 76.76% 84.56% 97.83% 35.56% 43.78% 83.09% 62.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -273.15% -314.26% -1,074.38% -551.31% 82.82% 21.17% 56.15% 39.64%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 1.37 3.201 3.456 4.62
Change - - - - - 133.6% 7.95% 33.69%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 1.345 1.517 1.716
Change - - - - - - 12.75% 13.14%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - 22.47 23.37 24.99 25.55
Change - - - - - 4% 6.93% 2.26%
EPS 1 - - - - 2 2.267 2.489 2.745
Change - - - - - 13.34% 9.8% 10.3%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - - 1,49,39,838 1,49,39,838 1,49,39,838 1,49,39,838
Announcement Date - - - - 17/02/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 29.6x 26.9x
PBR 2.87x 2.68x
EV / Sales 9.72x 9.32x
Yield 2.01% 2.26%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
67.00THB
Average target price
72.63THB
Spread / Average Target
+8.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GULF Stock
  4. Financials Gulf Energy Development