Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 39,405 33,752 31,013 30,694
Change - -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 8.24% -14.35% -8.12% -1.03%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,932 5,995 6,125 6,067
Change - 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 5.72% 1.06% 2.17% -0.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 -290 6,485 5,310 5,594
Change - 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -106.53% 2,336.28% -18.13% 5.36%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.45% 7.09% 7.37% 7.09%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.42% 4.18% 4.39% 4.27%
EBT Margin (%) 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.13% 3.37% 3.67% 3.69%
Net margin (%) 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.16% 2.15% 2.32% 2.33%
FCF margin (%) 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% -0.12% 2.53% 2.08% 2.06%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% -72.5% 117.6% 89.33% 88.2%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 0.27% 3.49% 3.74% 4.23%
ROE 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 5.78% 13.8% 13.46% 14.52%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.92x 1.86x 1.64x 1.59x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x -135.88x 5.2x 5.84x 5.49x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.4% 2.34% 2.39% 2.23%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.94% 32.97% 32.49% 31.47%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% -2,045.52% 92.44% 115.35% 108.44%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.4678 0.9728 0.9452 0.97
Change - 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -42.9% 107.96% -2.84% 2.62%
Dividend per Share 1 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.1848 0.2053 0.2629
Change - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 0% 84.8% 11.08% 28.05%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.257 3.405 3.647 3.579
Change - 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -11.86% 4.52% 7.11% -1.86%
EPS 1 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.03 0.4631 0.5052 0.552
Change - 250% -74.44% -138.24% 123.08% 1,443.73% 9.08% 9.28%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,30,94,998 1,27,62,238 1,21,69,709 1,21,57,132 1,17,13,994 1,17,15,401 1,17,15,401 1,17,15,401
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14.8x 13.6x
PBR 2.02x 1.88x
EV / Sales 0.44x 0.44x
Yield 2.69% 2.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
6.862USD
Average target price
7.485USD
Spread / Average Target
+9.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GLEN Stock
  4. Financials Glencore plc
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