Projected Income Statement: Fresnillo plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Fresnillo plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -66.9 - 304 -458 -1,917 -2,290 -3,111 -4,058
Change - - - -250.66% -318.56% -19.48% -35.85% -30.44%
Announcement Date 08/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Fresnillo plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 586 590.8 481.8 370.5 400.1 850.5 519.1 523.1
Change - 0.81% -18.44% -23.09% 7.99% 112.54% -38.96% 0.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 303.1 -89.94 -55.9 929.3 1,890 1,376 1,850 2,127
Change - -129.68% 37.86% 1,762.51% 103.34% -27.16% 34.4% 14.96%
Announcement Date 08/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Fresnillo plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 44.63% 30.87% 24.24% 44.25% 61.3% 68.8% 68.27% 68.42%
EBIT Margin (%) 24.67% 11.66% 5.27% 27.05% 50.26% 63.32% 61.06% 59.47%
EBT Margin (%) 22.62% 10.22% 4.21% 21.28% 45.65% 61.93% 63.09% 66.07%
Net margin (%) 15.58% 11.18% 8.65% 4.03% 30.34% 36.5% 36.31% 37.97%
FCF margin (%) 11.21% -3.7% -2.07% 26.58% 41.43% 20.87% 28.4% 33.65%
FCF / Net Income (%) 71.96% -33.08% -23.9% 659.42% 136.53% 57.18% 78.21% 88.63%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.36% 4.66% 4.02% 4.62% 21.03% 30.57% 29.34% 25.38%
ROE 11.87% 7.45% 6.27% 7.01% 32.61% 46.25% 39.08% 32.67%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.46x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - -5.45x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.68% 24.28% 17.81% 10.6% 8.77% 12.9% 7.97% 8.28%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.58% 78.65% 73.48% 23.95% 14.31% 18.74% 11.67% 12.1%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 193.35% -656.82% -862% 39.87% 21.18% 61.79% 28.06% 24.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.215 0.6815 0.578 1.764 3.107 3.071 3.124 2.88
Change - -43.9% -15.19% 205.17% 76.16% -1.15% 1.71% -7.8%
Dividend per Share 1 0.339 0.167 0.056 0.325 - 1.77 1.75 1.885
Change - -50.74% -66.47% 480.36% - - -1.15% 7.76%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.91 5.002 5.119 5.273 6.287 7.96 9.155 10.17
Change - 1.87% 2.34% 3.01% 19.24% 26.61% 15.01% 11.08%
EPS 1 0.572 0.369 0.317 0.191 1.878 3.381 3.304 3.268
Change - -35.49% -14.09% -39.75% 883.25% 80.05% -2.29% -1.09%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,36,894 7,36,894 7,36,894 7,36,894 7,36,894 7,36,894 7,36,894 7,36,894
Announcement Date 08/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 11.8x 12.1x
PBR 5.02x 4.36x
EV / Sales 4.12x 4.04x
Yield 4.43% 4.38%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
39.94USD
Average target price
51.37USD
Spread / Average Target
+28.61%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. FRES Stock
  4. Financials Fresnillo plc