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Real-time
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 284.80 EUR | -0.63% |
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+0.71% | -10.53% |
| 18/05 | Ferrari executes EUR20 million buyback in Milan and USD8 million on NYSE | AN |
| 13/05 | STM leads MIB gains as luxury downturn persists | AN |
Projected Income Statement: Ferrari N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,271 | 5,095 | 5,970 | 6,677 | 7,146 | 7,571 | 8,133 | 8,618 |
| Change | - | 19.29% | 17.17% | 11.84% | 7.02% | 5.94% | 7.43% | 5.96% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,531 | 1,773 | 2,279 | 2,555 | 2,772 | 2,963 | 3,212 | 3,421 |
| Change | - | 15.81% | 28.54% | 12.11% | 8.49% | 6.87% | 8.42% | 6.52% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,075 | 1,227 | 1,617 | 1,888 | 2,110 | 2,244 | 2,438 | 2,612 |
| Change | - | 14.14% | 31.78% | 16.76% | 11.76% | 6.37% | 8.6% | 7.15% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -33 | -49 | -15 | 1.205 | -46 | -14.4 | -17 | -23.75 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,042 | 1,178 | 1,602 | 1,889 | 2,064 | 2,219 | 2,417 | 2,608 |
| Change | - | 13.03% | 36.02% | 17.92% | 9.26% | 7.5% | 8.91% | 7.91% |
| Net income 1 | 833 | 939 | 1,257 | 1,526 | 1,600 | 1,714 | 1,856 | 1,971 |
| Change | - | 12.73% | 33.87% | 21.4% | 4.85% | 7.1% | 8.33% | 6.19% |
| Announcement Date | 02/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 04/02/25 | 10/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Ferrari N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,286 | 1,423 | 1,355 | 1,610 | 1,417 | 1,286 | 1,022 | 812 |
| Change | - | 10.65% | -4.78% | 18.82% | -11.99% | -9.24% | -20.53% | -20.55% |
| Announcement Date | 02/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 04/02/25 | 10/02/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Ferrari N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 737 | 806 | 869 | 989 | 943 | 941.2 | 978.4 | 1,017 |
| Change | - | 9.36% | 7.82% | 13.81% | -4.65% | -0.19% | 3.95% | 3.92% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 546 | 597 | 848 | 938 | 1,409 | 1,508 | 1,663 | 1,841 |
| Change | - | 9.34% | 42.04% | 10.61% | 50.21% | 7.05% | 10.22% | 10.73% |
| Announcement Date | 02/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 04/02/25 | 10/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Ferrari N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 35.85% | 34.8% | 38.17% | 38.27% | 38.79% | 39.13% | 39.49% | 39.7% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 25.17% | 24.08% | 27.09% | 28.28% | 29.53% | 29.65% | 29.97% | 30.31% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 24.4% | 23.12% | 26.83% | 28.29% | 28.88% | 29.31% | 29.71% | 30.26% |
| Net margin (%) | 19.5% | 18.43% | 21.06% | 22.85% | 22.39% | 22.64% | 22.83% | 22.88% |
| FCF margin (%) | 12.78% | 11.72% | 14.2% | 14.05% | 19.72% | 19.92% | 20.44% | 21.36% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 65.55% | 63.58% | 67.46% | 61.47% | 88.06% | 88.02% | 89.56% | 93.38% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 12.69% | 12.75% | 15.83% | 17.34% | 16.73% | 16.05% | 16.51% | 14.53% |
| ROE | 41.74% | 38.87% | 44.29% | 46.15% | 42.99% | 40.95% | 39.32% | 37.79% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.84x | 0.8x | 0.59x | 0.63x | 0.51x | 0.43x | 0.32x | 0.24x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 2.36x | 2.38x | 1.6x | 1.72x | 1.01x | 0.85x | 0.61x | 0.44x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 17.26% | 15.82% | 14.56% | 14.81% | 13.2% | 12.43% | 12.03% | 11.8% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 48.14% | 45.46% | 38.13% | 38.71% | 34.02% | 31.77% | 30.46% | 29.72% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 134.98% | 135.01% | 102.48% | 105.44% | 66.93% | 62.4% | 58.85% | 55.23% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 6.946 | 7.664 | 9.46 | 10.71 | 13.19 | 13.54 | 15.08 | 16.02 |
| Change | - | 10.34% | 23.43% | 13.18% | 23.2% | 2.67% | 11.36% | 6.23% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.362 | - | 2.443 | 2.986 | 3.615 | 3.871 | 4.151 | 4.459 |
| Change | - | - | - | 22.23% | 21.06% | 7.09% | 7.22% | 7.44% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 12 | - | 16.86 | 19.63 | 21.91 | 24.54 | 28.62 | 33.94 |
| Change | - | - | - | 16.43% | 11.59% | 12.03% | 16.63% | 18.55% |
| EPS 1 | 4.5 | 5.09 | 6.9 | 8.46 | 8.96 | 9.614 | 10.56 | 11.34 |
| Change | - | 13.11% | 35.56% | 22.61% | 5.91% | 7.3% | 9.82% | 7.38% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,83,843 | 1,81,953 | 1,80,418 | 1,79,044 | 1,77,279 | 1,76,289 | 1,76,289 | 1,76,289 |
| Announcement Date | 02/02/22 | 02/02/23 | 01/02/24 | 04/02/25 | 10/02/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 29.8x | 27.1x |
| PBR | 11.7x | 10x |
| EV / Sales | 6.84x | 6.34x |
| Yield | 1.35% | 1.45% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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