Projected Income Statement: Experian plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 3,917 3,897 3,954 4,648 5,234 5,504 4,755 3,802
Change - -0.51% 1.46% 17.55% 12.61% 5.16% -13.61% -20.04%
Announcement Date 18/05/22 17/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 20/05/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 485 627 640 651 726 748 755.4 786.1
Change - 29.28% 2.07% 1.72% 11.52% 3.02% 1% 4.06%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,311 1,090 1,107 1,354 1,513 1,829 1,953 2,148
Change - -16.86% 1.56% 22.31% 11.74% 20.9% 6.78% 9.95%
Announcement Date 18/05/22 17/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 20/05/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 33.86% 34.39% 34.51% 34.96% 35.64% 36.05% 36.45% 36.65%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.16% 27.1% 27.17% 27.69% 28.38% 29.04% 29.6% 30.21%
EBT Margin (%) 23.01% 17.74% 21.85% 20.59% 23.1% 23.23% 24.92% 26.17%
Net margin (%) 18.53% 11.63% 16.89% 15.5% 17.79% 17.39% 18.56% 19.3%
FCF margin (%) 20.85% 16.47% 15.6% 18% 17.92% 19.91% 19.74% 20.17%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.53% 141.56% 92.33% 116.12% 100.73% 114.44% 106.36% 104.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.86% 7.08% 10.62% 11.66% 11.05% 11.55% 12.49% 13.27%
ROE 32.28% 19.5% 28% 29.6% 28.34% 33.15% 36.18% 37.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.84x 1.71x 1.61x 1.77x 1.74x 1.66x 1.32x 0.97x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.99x 3.58x 3.57x 3.43x 3.46x 3.01x 2.43x 1.77x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.71% 9.47% 9.02% 8.65% 8.6% 8.14% 7.63% 7.38%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.78% 27.55% 26.13% 24.75% 24.12% 22.58% 20.94% 20.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.99% 57.52% 57.81% 48.08% 47.98% 40.89% 38.67% 36.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.95 1.864 1.897 2.175 2.436 2.887 3.302 3.602
Change - -4.4% 1.75% 14.64% 12.03% 18.52% 14.36% 9.07%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5175 0.5475 0.585 0.625 0.6925 0.7689 0.863 0.957
Change - 5.8% 6.85% 6.84% 10.8% 11.03% 12.24% 10.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.304 4.266 5.032 5.482 6.034 5.922 6.76 7.774
Change - -0.89% 17.94% 8.95% 10.07% -1.86% 14.16% 15%
EPS 1 1.248 0.836 1.302 1.265 1.634 1.813 2.112 2.382
Change - -33.01% 55.74% -2.84% 29.17% 10.96% 16.51% 12.75%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 9,14,038 9,12,453 9,12,895 9,13,734 8,99,266 8,91,366 8,91,366 8,91,366
Announcement Date 18/05/22 17/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 20/05/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 19.9x 17.1x
PBR 6.1x 5.35x
EV / Sales 4.11x 3.74x
Yield 2.13% 2.39%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
36.14USD
Average target price
50.97USD
Spread / Average Target
+41.03%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. EXPN Stock
  4. Financials Experian plc